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Spal vs Frosinone

4 May 2021 at 13:00Stadio Paolo Mazza, Ferrara
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Spal

01
Referee: D. Ghersini

Match Summary

Frosinone defeated Spal 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2020.

Rivalry since 2016

Spal vs Frosinone Head to Head Results· 9

Spal and Frosinone have met 9 times — Spal won 3, Frosinone won 6, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Frosinone leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 23 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.56 per match (7 for the home side, 16 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (22%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (56%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–0 in 2021.

3
wins
Drawn
0
·
Total goals
23 · 2.6/match
Both scored
2/9 · 22%
Over 2.5
5/9 · 56%

Recent Meetings

01/03/23Serie B
Match Details
08/10/22Serie B
Match Details
30/04/22Serie B
Match Details
18/12/21Serie B
Match Details
04/01/21Serie B
Match Details
31/03/19Serie A
Match Details
28/10/18Serie A
Match Details
26/03/17Serie B
Match Details
25/10/16Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 40 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Spal have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. Frosinone show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Spal

WLWDDD

Frosinone

WWWWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

25%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Frosinone dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

2
wins
draws
0
8 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Frosinone.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 Mar 202322/234.19/3.50/1.95
Match Details
8 Oct 202222/231.69/3.66/5.32
Match Details
30 Apr 202221/222.73/3.10/2.74
Match Details
18 Dec 202121/221.69/3.50/5.26
Match Details
4 May 202120/212.24/3.10/3.52
Match Details
4 Jan 202120/213.28/2.99/2.44
Match Details
25/10/1616/172.02/3.20/4.07
26/03/1716/172.19/3.05/3.62

Market Summary

Margin: 5.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.7%Draw 32.2%Away 28.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.103.50
Max2.313.113.57
Over 2.5: 43.5%Under 2.5: 62.5%
Market favourite:Spal · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market41.8%31.1%27.1%
Public market42.8%30.4%26.9%

Spal vs Frosinone — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Frosinone
Result vs. Market: Spal (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SpalHalf-time:00Frosinone
8Shots12
0Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Spal

W 53D 55L 48
Over 2.544
Goals scored197

Away Record: Frosinone

W 220D 173L 171
Over 2.548
Goals scored748

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026