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Spal vs Perugia

1 November 2021 at 14:00Stadio Paolo Mazza, Ferrara
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Spal

12
Referee: L. Zufferli

Match Summary

Perugia defeated Spal 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2021.

Rivalry since 2016

Spal vs Perugia Head to Head Results· 9

Spal and Perugia have met 9 times — Spal won 1, Perugia won 4, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Perugia leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 19 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.11 per match (7 for the home side, 12 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (56%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Perugia are currently unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2024.

1
wins
Drawn
4
·
4
wins
Total goals
19 · 2.1/match
Both scored
5/9 · 56%
Over 2.5
3/9 · 33%

Recent Meetings

05/01/25Serie C - Girone B
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30/08/24Serie C - Girone B
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21/01/24Serie C - Girone B
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15/09/23Serie C - Girone B
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30/04/23Serie B
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08/12/22Serie B
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16/03/22Serie B
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25/02/17Serie B
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26/09/16Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Spal have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. Perugia show 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Spal

WLWDDD

Perugia

DLDDWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Spal1wins
3draws6 meetings
Perugia2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.7

Average goals per game

17%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Perugia.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.7%Draw 31.1%Away 28.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.203.30
Max2.213.243.67
Over 2.5: 48.3%Under 2.5: 58.1%
Market favourite:Spal · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.8%29.9%26.4%
Public market43.7%29.4%26.9%

Spal vs Perugia — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Perugia
Result vs. Market: Spal (46%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SpalHalf-time:11Perugia
14Shots21
2Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

30 Apr 202322/232.31/3.19/3.42
8 Dec 202222/232.01/3.18/3.98
16 Mar 202221/221.93/3.33/4.22
1 Nov 202121/222.19/3.21/3.49
26/09/1616/172.19/3.04/3.73
25/02/1716/172.05/3.17/4.01

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Spal

W 53D 55L 48
Over 2.544
Goals scored197

Away Record: Perugia

W 148D 130L 120
Over 2.540
Goals scored479

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026