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Ternana vs Modena

28 January 2023 at 13:00Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
21
Away

Modena

Referee: M. Gualtieri

Match Summary

Ternana defeated Modena 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2022.

Rivalry since 2022

Ternana vs Modena Head to Head Results· 3

Ternana and Modena have met 3 times — Ternana won 0, Modena won 2, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2022. Modena leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 3 meetings. A combined 8 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.67 per match (2 for the home side, 6 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Modena are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2022.

0
wins
Drawn
1
·
2
wins
Total goals
8 · 2.7/match
Both scored
2/3 · 67%
Over 2.5
2/3 · 67%

Recent Meetings

06/04/24Serie B
Match Details
29/10/23Serie B
Match Details
27/08/22Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 41 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Ternana have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Modena show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Ternana

DLWDLD

Modena

LLWLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Ternana4wins
3draws10 meetings
Modena3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Ternana.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.9%Draw 30.3%Away 30.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.253.10
Max2.333.343.34
Over 2.5: 50.5%Under 2.5: 53.2%
Market favourite:Ternana · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market41.8%29.1%29.1%
Public market42.6%27.8%29.6%
Δ0.9%1.3%0.4%

Ternana vs Modena — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Ternana
Result vs. Market: Ternana (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

TernanaHalf-time:20Modena
8Shots19
6Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

6 Apr 202423/242.81/3.21/2.58
29 Oct 202323/242.04/3.43/3.77
28 Jan 202322/232.23/3.30/3.25
27 Aug 202222/232.24/3.27/3.31
18/09/1515/162.18/3.02/3.70
30/01/1615/162.20/2.99/3.79
24/12/1414/152.77/2.93/2.80
16/05/1514/152.08/3.10/3.83
23/11/1313/142.06/3.21/3.78
25/04/1413/142.04/3.11/4.04

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ternana

W 208D 231L 247
Over 2.544
Goals scored804

Away Record: Modena

W 226D 235L 233
Over 2.542
Goals scored824

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026