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Monza vs Padova

27 September 2025 at 16:15Brianteo, Monza
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Monza

01
Away

Padova

Referee: Alberto Ruben Arena

Match Summary

Padova defeated Monza 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by K. Varas 51′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Monza had 62% possession while Padova held 38%. Monza had 13 shots (4 on target) compared to 13 (5 on target) for Padova. Monza made 5 substitutions, Padova made 4. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Kevin Zeroli 69′).

Match Events

Key match events between Monza and Padova — 1 goal and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
L. ColomboK. Zeroli
57′
A. ColpaniN. Galazzi
57′
59′
K. LasagnaC. Buonaiuto
A. AlvarezG. Caprari
66′
M. MaricA. Petagna
66′
Goal cancelled69′
VAR
74′
L. CrisetigL. Di Maggio
75′
K. VarasJ. Harder
81′
A. BarrecaG. Favale
L. LucchesiA. Carboni
82′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Monza had 62% possession against Padova's 38%. Monza registered 13 shots (4 on target) while Padova managed 13 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 7–3. Fouls committed: 10–12.

Shots on Goal
4
5
Shots Off Goal
4
6
Total Shots
13
13
Blocked Shots
5
2
Shots inside the Box
9
7
Shots outside the Box
4
6
Fouls
10
12
Corner Kicks
7
3
Offsides
3
1
Ball Possession
62%
38%
Yellow Cards
1
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
4
Total Passes
560
357
Accurate Passes
477
277
Pass Accuracy
85%
78%
Expected Goals (xG)
0
0
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2018

Monza vs Padova Head to Head Results· 2

Monza and Padova have met 2 times — Monza won 1, Padova won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2018. A combined 4 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (2 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–2 in 2026.

1
wins
Drawn
0
·
1
wins
Total goals
4 · 2.0/match
Both scored
1/2 · 50%
Over 2.5
1/2 · 50%

Recent Meetings

01/02/26Serie B
Match Details
05/08/18Coppa Italia
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 12 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Monza have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Padova show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Monza

LWWDDL

Padova

WWLWWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Monza dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

3
wins
draws
0
4 meetings
1
wins

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 Feb 202625/264.33/3.50/1.79
Match Details
27 Sept 202525/261.68/3.63/5.12
Match Details
5 Oct 199897/98
14/12/9797/98

Market Summary

Margin: 6.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 59.5%Draw 27.6%Away 19.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.663.605.00
Max1.703.655.23
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite:Monza · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market55.8%26.0%18.2%
Public market55.8%25.7%18.5%

Monza vs Padova — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Padova
Result vs. Market: Monza (60%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MonzaHalf-time:00Padova
13Shots13
4Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Monza

W 95D 89L 82
Over 2.543
Goals scored338

Away Record: Padova

W 92D 107L 123
Over 2.546
Goals scored360

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026