Menu

Mantova vs Padova

8 November 2025 at 14:00Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
10
Away

Padova

Referee: Paride Tremolada

Match Summary

Mantova defeated Padova 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by F. Ruocco 84′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Mantova had 64% possession while Padova held 36%. Mantova had 16 shots (4 on target) compared to 7 (1 on target) for Padova. Expected goals: Mantova 1.63 — Padova 0.33. Mantova made 5 substitutions, Padova made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Mantova and Padova — 1 goal and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
56′
L. CrisetigJ. Harder
56′
C. BuonaiutoA. Seghetti
F. PaolettiC. Falletti
65′
69′
F. BelliC. Faedo
69′
G. FavaleP. Ghiglione
F. GaluppiniT. Marras
72′
L. MancusoD. Mensah
72′
C. BaniT. Maggioni
80′
F. ArtioliD. Wieser
80′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Mantova had 64% possession against Padova's 36%. Mantova registered 16 shots (4 on target) while Padova managed 7 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 6–2. Fouls committed: 8–17.

Shots on Goal
4
1
Shots Off Goal
7
4
Total Shots
16
7
Blocked Shots
5
2
Shots inside the Box
10
5
Shots outside the Box
6
2
Fouls
8
17
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
0
0
Ball Possession
64%
36%
Yellow Cards
2
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
3
Total Passes
574
328
Accurate Passes
517
254
Pass Accuracy
90%
77%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
0.33
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2016

Mantova vs Padova Head to Head Results· 11

Mantova and Padova have met 11 times — Mantova won 2, Padova won 5, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Padova leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 30 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.73 per match (12 for the home side, 18 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (55%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (45%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Mantova are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–6 in 2021.

2
wins
Drawn
4
·
5
wins
Total goals
30 · 2.7/match
Both scored
6/11 · 55%
Over 2.5
5/11 · 45%

Recent Meetings

17/01/26Serie B
Match Details
08/01/24Serie C - Girone A
Match Details
04/09/23Serie C - Girone A
Match Details
22/04/23Serie C - Girone A
Match Details
17/12/22Serie C - Girone A
Match Details
16/03/22Serie C - Girone A
Match Details
07/11/21Serie C - Girone A
Match Details
04/02/21Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
07/10/20Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
19/02/17Serie C - Girone A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 06 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Mantova have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Padova show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Mantova

LWWLWW

Padova

WWLWWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Mantova dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

3
wins
draws
0
4 meetings
1
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Mantova.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Jan 202625/262.25/3.00/3.30
Match Details
8 Nov 202525/262.20/3.20/3.25
Match Details
20/03/1009/102.11/2.93/3.68
10 Nov 200909/101.94/2.95/4.18

Market Summary

Margin: 7.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.5%Draw 31.3%Away 30.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.203.25
Max2.203.203.25
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite:Mantova · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Mantova
Result vs. Market: Mantova (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MantovaHalf-time:00Padova
16Shots7
4Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Mantova

W 94D 101L 91
Over 2.541
Goals scored327

Away Record: Padova

W 92D 107L 123
Over 2.546
Goals scored360

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026