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Palermo vs Padova

27 December 2025 at 16:15Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
10
Away

Padova

Referee: Marco Piccinini

Match Summary

Palermo defeated Padova 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by J. Pohjanpalo 38′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Palermo had 41% possession while Padova held 59%. Palermo had 11 shots (3 on target) compared to 11 (6 on target) for Padova. Palermo made 5 substitutions, Padova made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Palermo and Padova — 1 goal and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
J. Le DouaronA. Vasic
60′
A. PalumboC. Gomes
65′
E. GyasiN. Pierozzi
65′
69′
M. BortolussiA. Seghetti
73′
J. HarderC. Buonaiuto
84′
K. VarasL. Di Maggio
84′
F. BelliD. Baselli
84′
Papu GomezJ. Silva
P. CeccaroniS. Giovane
85′
F. RanocchiaA. Blin
85′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Palermo had 41% possession against Padova's 59%. Palermo registered 11 shots (3 on target) while Padova managed 11 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 3–8. Fouls committed: 12–11.

Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Total Shots
11
11
Blocked Shots
5
1
Shots inside the Box
8
4
Shots outside the Box
3
7
Fouls
12
11
Corner Kicks
3
8
Offsides
0
5
Ball Possession
41%
59%
Yellow Cards
2
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
6
1
Total Passes
341
491
Accurate Passes
263
397
Pass Accuracy
77%
81%
Expected Goals (xG)
0
0
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2018

Palermo vs Padova Head to Head Results· 5

Palermo and Padova have met 5 times — Palermo won 4, Padova won 0, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2018. Palermo leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 9 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.80 per match (7 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (40%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (20%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Palermo are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–3 in 2018.

4
wins
Drawn
1
·
0
wins
Total goals
9 · 1.8/match
Both scored
2/5 · 40%
Over 2.5
1/5 · 20%

Recent Meetings

21/03/26Serie B
Match Details
12/06/22Serie C - Girone A
Match Details
05/06/22Serie C - Girone A
Match Details
22/04/19Serie B
Match Details
08/12/18Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 13 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Palermo have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Padova show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Palermo

WLLWDW

Padova

WWLWWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Palermo dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

5
wins
draws
1
6 meetings
0
wins

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Mar 202625/264.75/3.60/1.71
Match Details
27 Dec 202525/261.46/3.80/6.50
Match Details
22 Apr 201918/191.46/3.92/8.50
Match Details
8 Dec 201818/193.79/3.20/2.08
Match Details
9 Aug 201313/142.78/3.09/2.65
2 Aug 201413/141.58/3.64/6.59

Market Summary

Margin: 10.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 68.5%Draw 26.3%Away 15.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.463.806.50
Max1.463.806.50
Over 2.5: 51.3%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite:Palermo · Heavy favourite

Result vs. Market

Palermo
Result vs. Market: Palermo (68%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PalermoHalf-time:10Padova
11Shots11
3Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Palermo

W 168D 134L 92
Over 2.547
Goals scored568

Away Record: Padova

W 92D 107L 123
Over 2.546
Goals scored360

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026