Menu

Mantova vs Palermo

11 January 2026 at 14:00Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
11

Match Summary

Mantova and Palermo drew 1:1. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by P. Ceccaroni 8′, T. Marras 90′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Mantova had 64% possession while Palermo held 36%. Mantova had 7 shots (2 on target) compared to 18 (6 on target) for Palermo. Expected goals: Mantova 0.27 — Palermo 1.91. Mantova made 5 substitutions, Palermo made 5. VAR was involved: Goal confirmed (Pietro Ceccaroni 10′), Red card cancelled (Alessio Castellini 90′).

Match Events

Key match events between Mantova and Palermo — 2 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
VAR
10′Goal confirmed
Half Time
F. RuoccoD. Mensah
59′
T. MaggioniF. Paoletti
59′
S. TrimboliF. Zuccon
60′
64′
A. VasicJ. Le Douaron
70′
F. RanocchiaC. Gomes
70′
P. PedaB. Bereszynski
70′
A. PalumboA. Blin
C. FallettiD. Bragantini
76′
82′
J. SegreS. Giovane
Red card cancelled90+2′
VAR
T. Marras

assist: D. Wieser

90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Mantova had 64% possession against Palermo's 36%. Mantova registered 7 shots (2 on target) while Palermo managed 18 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 3–6. Fouls committed: 7–18.

Shots on Goal
2
6
Shots Off Goal
4
8
Total Shots
7
18
Blocked Shots
1
4
Shots inside the Box
3
14
Shots outside the Box
4
4
Fouls
7
18
Corner Kicks
3
6
Offsides
5
1
Ball Possession
64%
36%
Yellow Cards
3
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
1
Total Passes
601
328
Accurate Passes
470
231
Pass Accuracy
78%
70%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.27
1.91
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2024

Mantova vs Palermo Head to Head Results· 3

Mantova and Palermo have met 3 times — Mantova won 0, Palermo won 1, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2024. Palermo leads the head-to-head with 1 victory from 3 meetings. A combined 7 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.33 per match (3 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Palermo are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2025.

0
wins
Drawn
2
·
1
wins
Total goals
7 · 2.3/match
Both scored
2/3 · 67%
Over 2.5
2/3 · 67%

Recent Meetings

04/03/26Serie B
Match Details
16/02/25Serie B
Match Details
30/10/24Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Mantova have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Palermo show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Mantova

LWWLWW

Palermo

WLLWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

0
wins
draws
3
4 meetings
1
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (27%) — the odds may underestimate Palermo.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

4 Mar 202625/261.53/3.90/5.75
Match Details
11 Jan 202625/263.40/3.40/2.05
Match Details
16 Feb 202524/251.76/3.24/5.12
Match Details
30 Oct 202424/252.75/3.23/2.57
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 7.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 29.4%Draw 29.4%Away 48.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.403.402.05
Max3.403.402.05
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 51.3%
Market favourite:Palermo · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Palermo (49%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MantovaHalf-time:01Palermo
7Shots18
2Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Mantova

W 94D 101L 91
Over 2.541
Goals scored327

Away Record: Palermo

W 168D 134L 92
Over 2.547
Goals scored568

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026