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Modena vs Spezia

13 March 2026 at 19:30Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
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Modena

30
Away

Spezia

Referee: N. Turrini

Match Summary

Modena defeated Spezia 3:0. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by M. De Luca 29′, M. De Luca 55′, E. Gliozzi 59′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Modena had 41% possession while Spezia held 59%. Modena had 9 shots (3 on target) compared to 6 (1 on target) for Spezia. Expected goals: Modena 1.69 — Spezia 0.14. Modena made 5 substitutions, Spezia made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Modena and Spezia — 3 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
29′
Half Time
57′
A. BellemoE. Adamo
62′
C. ComottoF. Bandinelli
63′
A. RomanoA. Nagy
E. GliozziP. Mendes
71′
S. WiafeA. Sersanti
71′
F. ZampanoG. Beyuku
74′
77′
M. ValotiH. Shagaxle
77′
G. BonfantiP. Hristov
M. De LucaG. Ambrosino
87′
S. SantoroY. Massolin
87′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Modena had 41% possession against Spezia's 59%. Modena registered 9 shots (3 on target) while Spezia managed 6 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 3–3. Fouls committed: 9–15.

Shots on Goal
3
1
Shots Off Goal
6
3
Total Shots
9
6
Blocked Shots
0
2
Shots inside the Box
7
2
Shots outside the Box
2
4
Fouls
9
15
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
3
3
Ball Possession
41%
59%
Yellow Cards
0
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
0
Total Passes
353
511
Accurate Passes
261
418
Pass Accuracy
74%
82%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
0.14
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-1.39
-1.39

Rivalry since 2016

Modena vs Spezia Head to Head Results· 6

Modena and Spezia have met 6 times — Modena won 1, Spezia won 2, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Spezia leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 6 meetings. A combined 8 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.33 per match (4 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–2 in 2025.

1
wins
Drawn
3
·
2
wins
Total goals
8 · 1.3/match
Both scored
2/6 · 33%
Over 2.5
0/6 · 0%

Recent Meetings

13/12/25Serie B
Match Details
15/02/25Serie B
Match Details
02/11/24Serie B
Match Details
25/02/24Serie B
Match Details
26/12/23Serie B
Match Details
06/08/16Coppa Italia
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 02 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Modena have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Spezia show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Modena

LLWLLD

Spezia

DDLWLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

3
wins
draws
4
10 meetings
3
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Spezia.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

13 Mar 202625/261.66/3.60/5.00
Match Details
13 Dec 202525/263.40/3.20/2.20
Match Details
15 Feb 202524/253.06/3.01/2.50
Match Details
2 Nov 202424/252.13/3.12/3.64
Match Details
25 Feb 202423/242.21/3.30/3.30
Match Details
26 Dec 202323/242.29/3.18/3.25
Match Details
27/10/1515/162.72/3.02/2.77
3 Dec 201615/161.75/3.40/5.17
27/09/1414/152.11/3.11/3.77
21/02/1514/152.38/2.95/3.35

Market Summary

Margin: 8.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 60.2%Draw 27.8%Away 20.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.663.605.00
Max1.663.605.00
Over 2.5: 48.1%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Modena · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

Modena
Result vs. Market: Modena (60%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ModenaHalf-time:10Spezia
9Shots6
3Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Modena

W 226D 235L 233
Over 2.542
Goals scored824

Away Record: Spezia

W 173D 177L 174
Over 2.542
Goals scored628

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026