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Modena vs Mantova

21 March 2026 at 18:30Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
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Modena

21
Referee: M. Caputi

Match Summary

Modena defeated Mantova 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by A. Sersanti 14′, D. Tonoli 59′, D. Mensah 81′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Modena had 37% possession while Mantova held 63%. Modena had 9 shots (4 on target) compared to 8 (2 on target) for Mantova. Expected goals: Modena 0.65 — Mantova 0.84. Modena made 5 substitutions, Mantova made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Modena and Mantova — 3 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
A. SersantiS. Wiafe
46′
46′
N. BusoD. Bragantini
46′
T. MarrasM. Caprini
65′
N. RadaelliT. Maggioni
E. GliozziG. Ambrosino
70′
F. ZampanoG. Beyuku
70′
77′
L. MancusoC. Falletti
81′
L. ZanimacchiaM. Cotali
87′
M. De LucaP. Mendes
90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Modena had 37% possession against Mantova's 63%. Modena registered 9 shots (4 on target) while Mantova managed 8 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 1–4. Fouls committed: 14–20.

Shots on Goal
4
2
Shots Off Goal
3
3
Total Shots
9
8
Blocked Shots
2
3
Shots inside the Box
9
5
Shots outside the Box
1
3
Fouls
14
20
Corner Kicks
1
4
Offsides
3
1
Ball Possession
37%
63%
Yellow Cards
1
4
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
2
Total Passes
325
556
Accurate Passes
229
471
Pass Accuracy
70%
85%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
0.84
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-1.55
-1.55

Rivalry since 2016

Modena vs Mantova Head to Head Results· 7

Modena and Mantova have met 7 times — Modena won 3, Mantova won 1, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Modena leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 7 meetings. A combined 13 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.86 per match (9 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (43%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (29%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Modena are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–3 in 2025.

3
wins
Drawn
3
·
1
wins
Total goals
13 · 1.9/match
Both scored
3/7 · 43%
Over 2.5
2/7 · 29%

Recent Meetings

20/09/25Serie B
Match Details
01/02/25Serie B
Match Details
30/11/24Serie B
Match Details
14/03/21Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
16/11/20Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
30/04/17Serie C - Girone A
Match Details
11/12/16Serie C - Girone A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 13 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Modena have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Mantova show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Modena

LLWLLD

Mantova

LWWLWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Modena3wins
3draws6 meetings
Mantova0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

83%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Modena.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 60.2%Draw 27.8%Away 20.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.663.605.00
Max1.663.605.00
Over 2.5: 51.3%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite:Modena · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

Modena
Result vs. Market: Modena (60%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ModenaHalf-time:10Mantova
9Shots8
4Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Mar 202625/261.66/3.60/5.00
20 Sept 202525/262.91/3.17/2.46
1 Feb 202524/251.78/3.42/4.85
30 Nov 202424/253.12/3.11/2.37
12 Dec 200909/101.86/3.08/4.48
5 Aug 201009/101.66/3.08/5.54

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Modena

W 226D 235L 233
Over 2.542
Goals scored824

Away Record: Mantova

W 94D 101L 91
Over 2.541
Goals scored327

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026