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Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla

1 March 2025 at 15:15Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid

Match Summary

Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla drew 1:1. The match was played in La Liga 2024.

Rivalry since 2012

Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla Head to Head Results· 21

Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla have met 21 times — Rayo Vallecano won 2, Sevilla won 13, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Sevilla leads the head-to-head with 13 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 60 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.86 per match (18 for the home side, 42 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (57%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (52%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Sevilla are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–2 in 2012.

Drawn
6
·
13
wins
Total goals
60 · 2.9/match
Both scored
12/21 · 57%
Over 2.5
11/21 · 52%

Recent Meetings

08/03/26La Liga
Match Details
28/09/25La Liga
Match Details
24/11/24La Liga
Match Details
05/02/24La Liga
Match Details
07/10/23La Liga
Match Details
19/02/23La Liga
Match Details
29/10/22La Liga
Match Details
13/03/22La Liga
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15/08/21La Liga
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25/04/19La Liga
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Highest-scoring game: 52 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Rayo Vallecano have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Sevilla show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
5
10 meetings
4
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Sevilla.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

8 Mar 202625/262.55/3.10/3.00
Match Details
28 Sept 202525/262.02/3.34/4.01
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1 Mar 202524/252.31/3.23/3.30
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24 Nov 202424/252.31/3.24/3.27
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5 Feb 202423/242.14/3.35/3.45
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7 Oct 202323/241.87/3.57/4.26
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19 Feb 202322/232.50/3.14/3.05
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29 Oct 202222/232.01/3.35/4.04
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13 Mar 202221/223.35/3.14/2.34
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15 Aug 202121/221.43/4.40/8.12
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Market Summary

Margin: 4.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 43.4%Draw 30.9%Away 30.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.303.203.20
Max2.323.253.40
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Rayo Vallecano · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market41.7%29.8%28.5%
Public market41.4%29.8%28.9%

Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Rayo Vallecano (43%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Rayo VallecanoHalf-time:00Sevilla
20Shots10
8Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Rayo Vallecano

W 208D 164L 318
Over 2.553
Goals scored793

Away Record: Sevilla

W 479D 281L 386
Over 2.549
Goals scored1629

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026