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Lincoln vs Milton Keynes Dons

26 December 2021 at 15:00LNER Stadium, Lincoln, Lincolnshire

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons defeated Lincoln 3:2. The match was played in League One 2021.

Rivalry since 2018

Lincoln vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head Results· 9

Lincoln and Milton Keynes Dons have met 9 times — Lincoln won 4, Milton Keynes Dons won 2, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2018. Lincoln leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 22 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.44 per match (14 for the home side, 8 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (56%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Milton Keynes Dons are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–0 in 2021.

4
wins
Drawn
3
·
Total goals
22 · 2.4/match
Both scored
6/9 · 67%
Over 2.5
5/9 · 56%

Recent Meetings

28/02/23League One
Match Details
14/01/23League One
Match Details
05/02/22League One
Match Details
13/04/21League One
Match Details
19/09/20League One
Match Details
11/02/20League One
Match Details
20/08/19League One
Match Details
06/04/19League Two
Match Details
22/09/18League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 40 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Lincoln have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Milton Keynes Dons show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Lincoln2wins
3draws8 meetings
Milton Keynes Dons3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

63%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 34.6%Draw 28.7%Away 42.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.793.302.30
Max3.003.652.38
Over 2.5: 50.5%Under 2.5: 53.2%
Market favourite:Milton Keynes Dons · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market33.9%25.9%40.1%
Public market31.6%27.1%41.3%
Δ2.3%1.2%1.1%

Lincoln vs Milton Keynes Dons — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Milton Keynes Dons
Result vs. Market: Milton Keynes Dons (43%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LincolnHalf-time:20Milton Keynes Dons
7Shots14
2Shots on target9

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

28 Feb 202322/232.24/3.15/3.44
14 Jan 202322/232.02/3.30/3.90
5 Feb 202221/221.89/3.51/4.07
26 Dec 202121/222.89/3.48/2.35
13 Apr 202120/212.35/3.42/3.01
19 Sept 202020/212.68/3.28/2.67
11 Feb 202019/202.34/3.26/3.14
20 Aug 201919/202.69/3.53/2.60

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Lincoln

W 129D 84L 98
Over 2.545
Goals scored433

Away Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 267D 167L 245
Over 2.549
Goals scored944

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026