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Milton Keynes Dons vs Bolton

13 September 2022 at 19:45Stadium mk, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire

Match Summary

Bolton defeated Milton Keynes Dons 2:0. The match was played in League One 2022.

Rivalry since 2015

Milton Keynes Dons vs Bolton Head to Head Results· 9

Milton Keynes Dons and Bolton have met 9 times — Milton Keynes Dons won 3, Bolton won 3, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2015. A combined 24 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.67 per match (10 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (44%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2021.

Drawn
3
·
3
wins
Total goals
24 · 2.7/match
Both scored
4/9 · 44%
Over 2.5
3/9 · 33%

Recent Meetings

14/02/23League One
Match Details
26/02/22League One
Match Details
07/08/21League One
Match Details
22/02/20League One
Match Details
16/11/19League One
Match Details
04/02/17League One
Match Details
10/09/16League One
Match Details
23/01/16Championship
Match Details
18/08/15Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Milton Keynes Dons have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Bolton show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

38%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
8 meetings
3
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (34%) — the odds may underestimate Milton Keynes Dons.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 Feb 202322/231.67/3.75/5.40
Match Details
13 Sept 202222/232.96/3.35/2.41
Match Details
26 Feb 202221/222.26/3.32/3.22
Match Details
7 Aug 202121/222.29/3.42/2.98
Match Details
22 Feb 202019/201.61/3.98/5.59
Match Details
16 Nov 201919/202.55/3.45/2.77
Match Details
9 Oct 201616/172.10/3.45/3.73
2 Apr 201716/172.51/3.41/2.91

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 33.7%Draw 29.9%Away 41.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.893.202.35
Max3.003.452.52
Over 2.5: 46.5%Under 2.5: 60.2%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market33.5%28.1%38.4%
Public market31.8%28.0%40.2%
Δ1.7%1.8%

Milton Keynes Dons vs Bolton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Bolton
Result vs. Market: Bolton (41%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Milton Keynes DonsHalf-time:01Bolton
4Shots9
0Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 267D 167L 245
Over 2.549
Goals scored944

Away Record: Bolton

W 138D 82L 90
Over 2.547
Goals scored454

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026