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Bristol Rovers vs Milton Keynes Dons

4 February 2023 at 15:00Memorial Stadium, Bristol, Gloucestershire

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons defeated Bristol Rovers 2:0. The match was played in League One 2022.

Rivalry since 2016

Bristol Rovers vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head Results· 12

Bristol Rovers and Milton Keynes Dons have met 12 times — Bristol Rovers won 5, Milton Keynes Dons won 5, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. A combined 28 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.33 per match (12 for the home side, 16 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (17%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2016.

Total goals
28 · 2.3/match
Both scored
2/12 · 17%
Over 2.5
4/12 · 33%

Recent Meetings

27/01/26League Two
Match Details
11/10/25League Two
Match Details
13/12/22EFL Trophy
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bristol Rovers have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Milton Keynes Dons show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Bristol Rovers4wins
2draws10 meetings
Milton Keynes Dons4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

10%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.2%Draw 29.0%Away 31.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.303.20
Max2.243.543.28
Over 2.5: 50.5%Under 2.5: 53.2%
Market favourite:Bristol Rovers · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.2%27.3%29.5%
Public market43.2%27.1%29.7%

Bristol Rovers vs Milton Keynes Dons — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Milton Keynes Dons
Result vs. Market: Bristol Rovers (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Bristol RoversHalf-time:01Milton Keynes Dons
6Shots11
1Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

4 Feb 202322/232.21/3.45/3.23
11 Oct 202222/232.22/3.39/3.25
20 Apr 202120/212.77/3.35/2.51
26 Dec 202020/211.76/3.64/4.56
1 Jan 202019/202.50/3.51/2.75
12 Oct 201919/202.02/3.53/3.78
28/10/1717/181.99/3.64/3.83
3 Mar 201817/182.72/3.40/2.65
18/10/1616/172.12/3.64/3.47
19/11/1616/172.26/3.50/3.25

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bristol Rovers

W 170D 128L 243
Over 2.549
Goals scored638

Away Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 267D 167L 245
Over 2.549
Goals scored944

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026