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Wycombe vs Derby

11 February 2023 at 15:00Adams Park, High Wycombe, Buckinghamshire
32
Away

Derby

Referee: R. Lewis

Match Summary

Wycombe defeated Derby 3:2. The match was played in League One 2022.

Rivalry since 2020

Wycombe vs Derby Head to Head Results· 5

Wycombe and Derby have met 5 times — Wycombe won 0, Derby won 2, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2020. Derby leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 10 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (4 for the home side, 6 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (80%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Derby are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2022.

0
wins
Drawn
3
·
2
wins
Total goals
10 · 2.0/match
Both scored
4/5 · 80%
Over 2.5
2/5 · 40%

Recent Meetings

10/04/24League One
Match Details
16/12/23League One
Match Details
17/09/22League One
Match Details
16/02/21Championship
Match Details
28/11/20Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 21 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Wycombe have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Derby show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Wycombe

WLLDLL

Derby

LWLWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Wycombe1wins
2draws4 meetings
Derby1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (28%) — the odds may underestimate Wycombe.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 29.7%Draw 29.1%Away 46.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.303.302.15
Max3.513.512.15
Over 2.5: 50.5%Under 2.5: 53.2%
Market favourite:Derby · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market27.5%27.5%44.9%
Public market28.8%27.1%44.1%
Δ1.2%0.4%0.8%

Wycombe vs Derby — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Wycombe
Result vs. Market: Derby (47%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

WycombeHalf-time:10Derby
14Shots13
7Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

10 Apr 202423/244.30/3.63/1.84
16 Dec 202323/241.48/4.26/6.90
11 Feb 202322/233.37/3.44/2.15
17 Sept 202222/231.95/3.49/3.89

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Wycombe

W 153D 105L 144
Over 2.549
Goals scored554

Away Record: Derby

W 49D 21L 22
Over 2.549
Goals scored145

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026