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Lincoln vs Northampton

29 December 2023 at 19:45LNER Stadium, Lincoln, Lincolnshire
12
Referee: M. Corlett

Match Summary

Northampton defeated Lincoln 2:1. The match was played in League One 2023.

Rivalry since 2018

Lincoln vs Northampton Head to Head Results· 10

Lincoln and Northampton have met 10 times — Lincoln won 8, Northampton won 0, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2018. Lincoln leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 28 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.80 per match (21 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Lincoln are currently unbeaten in the last 10 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2018.

8
wins
Drawn
2
·
Total goals
28 · 2.8/match
Both scored
5/10 · 50%
Over 2.5
6/10 · 60%

Recent Meetings

17/02/26League One
Match Details
19/08/25League One
Match Details
18/01/25League One
Match Details
29/10/24League One
Match Details
15/08/23League One
Match Details
23/01/21League One
Match Details
19/12/20League One
Match Details
09/02/19League Two
Match Details
10/11/18FA Cup
Match Details
04/08/18League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Lincoln have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Northampton show 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from their last 6 outings.

Lincoln

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Lincoln dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Lincoln6wins
1draws8 meetings
Northampton1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (75%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Lincoln.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 41.6%Draw 31.3%Away 32.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.303.193.00
Max2.463.203.20
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 60.6%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market39.4%30.4%30.3%
Public market39.1%30.0%30.9%

Lincoln vs Northampton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Northampton
Result vs. Market: Lincoln (42%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LincolnHalf-time:01Northampton
13Shots8
5Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Feb 202625/261.35/4.50/8.00
19 Aug 202525/263.35/3.42/2.17
18 Jan 202524/254.00/3.33/1.96
29 Oct 202424/251.73/3.67/4.81
29 Dec 202323/242.40/3.20/3.10
15 Aug 202323/242.73/3.08/2.61
23 Jan 202120/211.55/4.12/5.93
19 Dec 202020/213.72/3.43/2.02

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Lincoln

W 129D 84L 98
Over 2.545
Goals scored433

Away Record: Northampton

W 119D 108L 187
Over 2.548
Goals scored457

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026