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Stevenage vs Northampton

3 December 2024 at 19:45Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire
Referee: S. Jackson

Match Summary

Stevenage defeated Northampton 2:0. The match was played in League One 2024.

Rivalry since 2014

Stevenage vs Northampton Head to Head Results· 17

Stevenage and Northampton have met 17 times — Stevenage won 4, Northampton won 10, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Northampton leads the head-to-head with 10 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 42 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.47 per match (18 for the home side, 24 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (53%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (53%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2022.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
42 · 2.5/match
Both scored
9/17 · 53%
Over 2.5
9/17 · 53%

Recent Meetings

07/02/26League One
Match Details
16/08/25League One
Match Details
01/01/25League One
Match Details
26/12/23League One
Match Details
05/08/23League One
Match Details
01/04/23League Two
Match Details
22/10/22League Two
Match Details
15/03/22League Two
Match Details
19/10/21League Two
Match Details
01/01/20League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Stevenage have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Northampton show 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Stevenage dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Stevenage4wins
1draws6 meetings
Northampton1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

17%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (49%) — the odds may underestimate Stevenage.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 52.2%Draw 29.4%Away 24.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.903.403.90
Max1.943.404.31
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 60.6%
Market favourite:Stevenage · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market49.5%28.2%22.3%
Public market48.9%27.3%23.8%
Δ0.6%0.9%1.5%

Stevenage vs Northampton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Stevenage
Result vs. Market: Stevenage (52%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

StevenageHalf-time:00Northampton
16Shots1
6Shots on target0

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 Feb 202625/263.10/3.10/2.30
16 Aug 202525/261.67/3.50/5.49
1 Jan 202524/253.61/3.29/2.08
3 Dec 202424/251.92/3.40/4.14
26 Dec 202323/241.70/3.67/5.16
5 Aug 202323/242.59/3.12/2.74

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stevenage

W 99D 75L 102
Over 2.542
Goals scored310

Away Record: Northampton

W 119D 108L 187
Over 2.548
Goals scored457

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026