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Lincoln vs Rotherham

1 January 2025 at 15:00LNER Stadium, Lincoln, Lincolnshire
01
Referee: B. Speedie

Match Summary

Rotherham defeated Lincoln 1:0. The match was played in League One 2024.

Rivalry since 2017

Lincoln vs Rotherham Head to Head Results· 10

Lincoln and Rotherham have met 10 times — Lincoln won 3, Rotherham won 6, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Rotherham leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 26 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.60 per match (12 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (40%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (70%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–0 in 2026.

3
wins
Drawn
1
·
Total goals
26 · 2.6/match
Both scored
4/10 · 40%
Over 2.5
7/10 · 70%

Recent Meetings

21/03/26League One
Match Details
08/11/25League One
Match Details
03/12/24League One
Match Details
29/07/23Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
15/03/22League One
Match Details
14/09/21League One
Match Details
07/02/20League One
Match Details
12/11/19EFL Trophy
Match Details
10/08/19League One
Match Details
08/08/17League Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 30 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Lincoln have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Rotherham show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Lincoln

WWWDWW

Rotherham

LDLWLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Rotherham dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Lincoln2wins
1draws8 meetings
Rotherham5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

38%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Rotherham.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 50.8%Draw 29.2%Away 26.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.953.303.50
Max2.003.604.01
Over 2.5: 46.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Lincoln · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market48.5%28.0%23.6%
Public market47.6%25.8%26.5%
Δ0.8%2.2%3.0%

Lincoln vs Rotherham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Rotherham
Result vs. Market: Lincoln (51%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LincolnHalf-time:00Rotherham
7Shots15
2Shots on target9

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Mar 202625/261.35/4.75/7.00
8 Nov 202525/263.40/3.30/2.05
1 Jan 202524/251.97/3.43/3.80
3 Dec 202424/252.50/3.13/2.99
15 Mar 202221/221.50/4.20/6.78
14 Sept 202121/222.97/3.25/2.42
7 Feb 202019/203.25/3.47/2.19
10 Aug 201919/201.97/3.52/3.86

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Lincoln

W 129D 84L 98
Over 2.545
Goals scored433

Away Record: Rotherham

W 144D 85L 128
Over 2.549
Goals scored495

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026