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Burton Albion vs Reading

28 January 2025 at 19:45Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
Referee: W. Finnie

Match Summary

Burton Albion defeated Reading 3:2. The match was played in League One 2024.

Rivalry since 2016

Burton Albion vs Reading Head to Head Results· 9

Burton Albion and Reading have met 9 times — Burton Albion won 2, Reading won 6, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Reading leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 30 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.33 per match (10 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (78%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Reading are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–4 in 2017.

Drawn
1
·
6
wins
Total goals
30 · 3.3/match
Both scored
6/9 · 67%
Over 2.5
7/9 · 78%

Recent Meetings

17/03/26League One
Match Details
01/01/26League One
Match Details
01/10/24League One
Match Details
20/04/24League One
Match Details
30/09/23League One
Match Details
30/01/18Championship
Match Details
23/12/17Championship
Match Details
07/05/17Championship
Match Details
19/11/16Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 24 v 2017

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Burton Albion have recorded 1 win, 5 draws and 0 defeats. Reading show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Burton Albion2wins
1draws6 meetings
Reading3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

67%

Games with 3+ goals

67%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Burton Albion.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 41.4%Draw 29.3%Away 35.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.383.402.75
Max2.463.452.93
Over 2.5: 50.5%Under 2.5: 53.2%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market39.2%27.9%32.9%
Public market39.0%27.3%33.7%

Burton Albion vs Reading — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Burton Albion
Result vs. Market: Burton Albion (41%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Burton AlbionHalf-time:20Reading
12Shots16
6Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Mar 202625/262.20/3.25/3.20
1 Jan 202625/261.91/3.30/3.80
28 Jan 202524/252.41/3.42/2.86
1 Oct 202424/251.71/4.05/4.55
20 Apr 202423/242.90/3.43/2.37
30 Sept 202323/241.93/3.65/3.84

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Burton Albion

W 134D 107L 162
Over 2.550
Goals scored480

Away Record: Reading

W 53D 38L 47
Over 2.551
Goals scored200

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026