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Birmingham vs Lincoln

8 March 2025 at 15:00St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park, Birmingham
10
Referee: D. Rock

Match Summary

Birmingham defeated Lincoln 1:0. The match was played in League One 2024.

Rivalry since 2024

Birmingham vs Lincoln Head to Head Results· 2

Birmingham and Lincoln have met 2 times — Birmingham won 2, Lincoln won 0, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2024. Birmingham leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 7 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.50 per match (5 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–3 in 2024.

Drawn
0
·
0
wins
Total goals
7 · 3.5/match
Both scored
2/2 · 100%
Over 2.5
2/2 · 100%

Recent Meetings

11/01/25FA Cup
Match Details
19/10/24League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 13 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Birmingham have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Lincoln show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Lincoln

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Birmingham dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Birmingham2wins
0draws2 meetings
Lincoln0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (63%) — the odds may underestimate Birmingham.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 65.9%Draw 25.9%Away 14.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.503.806.50
Max1.533.907.45
Over 2.5: 48.1%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Birmingham · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market62.6%24.6%12.8%
Public market61.5%24.3%14.2%
Δ1.1%0.3%1.4%

Birmingham vs Lincoln — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Birmingham
Result vs. Market: Birmingham (66%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BirminghamHalf-time:00Lincoln
13Shots6
4Shots on target0

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

8 Mar 202524/251.52/3.86/6.82
19 Oct 202424/254.15/3.38/1.90

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Birmingham

W 34D 9L 3
Over 2.544
Goals scored84

Away Record: Lincoln

W 129D 84L 98
Over 2.545
Goals scored433

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026