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Bristol Rovers vs Birmingham

1 April 2025 at 20:00Memorial Stadium, Bristol, Gloucestershire
Referee: O. Yates

Match Summary

Birmingham defeated Bristol Rovers 2:1. The match was played in League One 2024.

Rivalry since 2014

Bristol Rovers vs Birmingham Head to Head Results· 3

Bristol Rovers and Birmingham have met 3 times — Bristol Rovers won 0, Birmingham won 3, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Birmingham leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 3 meetings. A combined 8 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.67 per match (1 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Birmingham are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–2 in 2015.

Drawn
0
·
Total goals
8 · 2.7/match
Both scored
1/3 · 33%
Over 2.5
2/3 · 67%

Recent Meetings

14/12/24League One
Match Details
11/08/15League Cup
Match Details
14/01/14FA Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 12 v 2015

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bristol Rovers have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Birmingham show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Birmingham dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Bristol Rovers0wins
0draws2 meetings
Birmingham2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (13%) — the odds may underestimate Birmingham.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 13.4%Draw 21.1%Away 71.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min7.484.501.38
Max7.504.981.41
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Birmingham · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market12.8%19.2%68.0%
Public market12.3%20.6%67.1%
Δ0.5%1.3%0.9%

Bristol Rovers vs Birmingham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Birmingham
Result vs. Market: Birmingham (72%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Bristol RoversHalf-time:11Birmingham
9Shots7
2Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 Apr 202524/257.49/4.74/1.40
14 Dec 202424/251.24/6.06/10.48

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bristol Rovers

W 170D 128L 243
Over 2.549
Goals scored638

Away Record: Birmingham

W 34D 9L 3
Over 2.544
Goals scored84

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026