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Port Vale vs Luton

28 February 2026 at 15:00Vale Park, Stoke on Trent
11
Away

Luton

Referee: L. Swabey

Match Summary

Port Vale and Luton drew 1:1. The match was played in League One 2025. Goals were scored by N. Wells 5′, B. Waine 29′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Port Vale had 40% possession while Luton held 60%. Port Vale had 12 shots (5 on target) compared to 12 (5 on target) for Luton. Expected goals: Port Vale 1.55 — Luton 2.34. Port Vale made 3 substitutions, Luton made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Port Vale and Luton — 2 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
5′
N. Wells

assist: E. Lawrence

29′
Half Time
61′
J. RichardsK. Palmer
61′
N. WellsA. Al Hamadi
J. StockleyA. Gray
66′
71′
L. WalshD. van den Berg
R. WaltersJ. Shipley
77′
G. HallM. Sherif
78′
80′
I. JonesS. Morris
81′
N. LonwijkH. Odoffin
Full Time

Match Statistics

Port Vale had 40% possession against Luton's 60%. Port Vale registered 12 shots (5 on target) while Luton managed 12 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 6–6. Fouls committed: 21–15.

Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots Off Goal
2
3
Total Shots
12
12
Blocked Shots
5
4
Shots inside the Box
7
8
Shots outside the Box
5
4
Fouls
21
15
Corner Kicks
6
6
Offsides
3
2
Ball Possession
40%
60%
Yellow Cards
3
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
4
Total Passes
274
425
Accurate Passes
182
322
Pass Accuracy
66%
76%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
2.34
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2017

Port Vale vs Luton Head to Head Results· 3

Port Vale and Luton have met 3 times — Port Vale won 1, Luton won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. A combined 10 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.33 per match (6 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2025.

Drawn
1
·
1
wins
Total goals
10 · 3.3/match
Both scored
1/3 · 33%
Over 2.5
2/3 · 67%

Recent Meetings

13/12/25League One
Match Details
30/12/17League Two
Match Details
12/09/17League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Port Vale have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Luton show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Port Vale

LWLLDW

Luton

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Port Vale0wins
2draws4 meetings
Luton2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

100%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (26%) — the odds may underestimate Luton.

Market Summary

Margin: 9.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 28.6%Draw 29.4%Away 51.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.503.401.96
Max3.503.401.96
Over 2.5: 46.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Luton · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Luton (51%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Port ValeHalf-time:11Luton
12Shots12
5Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

29/12/0707/082.28/3.21/2.81
28 Feb 202625/263.50/3.40/1.96
13 Dec 202525/261.71/3.60/4.50
22/09/0707/081.73/3.37/4.31

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Port Vale

W 156D 107L 243
Over 2.549
Goals scored549

Away Record: Luton

W 88D 45L 51
Over 2.554
Goals scored288

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026