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Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon

14 March 2026 at 15:00Lamex Stadium, Stevenage
Referee: D. Bourne

Match Summary

Stevenage defeated AFC Wimbledon 1:0. The match was played in League One 2025. Goals were scored by J. Reid 10′ (pen.). 4 yellow cards were shown. Stevenage had 36% possession while AFC Wimbledon held 64%. Stevenage had 9 shots (4 on target) compared to 7 (1 on target) for AFC Wimbledon. Expected goals: Stevenage 1.47 — AFC Wimbledon 0.52. Stevenage made 5 substitutions, AFC Wimbledon made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Stevenage and AFC Wimbledon — 1 goal and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
J. Reid

Penalty

10′
Half Time
65′
A. SmithJ. Reeves
65′
M. StevensO. Bugiel
65′
C. MaycockZ. Nelson
77′
M. BrowneA. Hackford
77′
J. LewisR. Nkeng
P. PattersonJ. Pattenden
78′
J. ReidJ. Roberts
78′
J. HoughtonL. Thompson
78′
D. KempB. Lubala
86′
D. Sweeney
90+7′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Stevenage had 36% possession against AFC Wimbledon's 64%. Stevenage registered 9 shots (4 on target) while AFC Wimbledon managed 7 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 1–7. Fouls committed: 11–11.

Shots on Goal
4
1
Shots Off Goal
3
2
Total Shots
9
7
Blocked Shots
2
4
Shots inside the Box
6
6
Shots outside the Box
3
1
Fouls
11
11
Corner Kicks
1
7
Offsides
1
1
Ball Possession
36%
64%
Yellow Cards
2
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
0
3
Total Passes
231
414
Accurate Passes
130
291
Pass Accuracy
56%
70%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
0.52
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2012

Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon Head to Head Results· 10

Stevenage and AFC Wimbledon have met 10 times — Stevenage won 7, AFC Wimbledon won 1, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Stevenage leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 33 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.30 per match (20 for the home side, 13 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (70%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (80%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Stevenage are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–5 in 2025.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
33 · 3.3/match
Both scored
7/10 · 70%
Over 2.5
8/10 · 80%

Recent Meetings

26/12/25League One
Match Details
02/09/25EFL Trophy
Match Details
15/04/23League Two
Match Details
28/02/23League Two
Match Details
06/11/18EFL Trophy
Match Details
30/04/16League Two
Match Details
12/12/15League Two
Match Details
10/01/15League Two
Match Details
30/08/14League Two
Match Details
14/08/12League Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 15 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Stevenage have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. AFC Wimbledon show 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Stevenage1wins
1draws2 meetings
AFC Wimbledon0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

0.5

Average goals per game

0%

Games with 3+ goals

0%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (50%) — the odds may underestimate Stevenage.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 53.8%Draw 31.3%Away 23.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.863.204.33
Max1.863.204.33
Over 2.5: 40.0%Under 2.5: 66.7%
Market favourite:Stevenage · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Stevenage
Result vs. Market: Stevenage (54%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

StevenageHalf-time:10AFC Wimbledon
9Shots7
4Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 Mar 202625/261.86/3.20/4.33
26 Dec 202525/262.82/2.75/2.65

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stevenage

W 99D 75L 102
Over 2.542
Goals scored310

Away Record: AFC Wimbledon

W 80D 96L 135
Over 2.548
Goals scored334

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026