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Stevenage vs Reading

21 March 2026 at 15:00Lamex Stadium, Stevenage
10
Referee: S. Oldham

Match Summary

Stevenage defeated Reading 1:0. The match was played in League One 2025. Goals were scored by D. Kemp 85′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Stevenage had 57% possession while Reading held 43%. Stevenage had 14 shots (4 on target) compared to 4 (1 on target) for Reading. Expected goals: Stevenage 1.66 — Reading 0.34. Stevenage made 1 substitutions, Reading made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Stevenage and Reading — 1 goal and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
35′
R. WilliamsP. Lane
Half Time
68′
68′
K. DoyleM. Ritchie
68′
W. KeaneK. Young
85′
89′
R. NyambeA. Yiadom
Full Time

Match Statistics

Stevenage had 57% possession against Reading's 43%. Stevenage registered 14 shots (4 on target) while Reading managed 4 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 4–2. Fouls committed: 6–16.

Shots on Goal
4
1
Shots Off Goal
9
2
Total Shots
14
4
Blocked Shots
1
1
Shots inside the Box
9
2
Shots outside the Box
5
2
Fouls
6
16
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
3
2
Ball Possession
57%
43%
Yellow Cards
2
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
0
3
Total Passes
355
277
Accurate Passes
212
154
Pass Accuracy
60%
56%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
0.34
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2018

Stevenage vs Reading Head to Head Results· 8

Stevenage and Reading have met 8 times — Stevenage won 1, Reading won 4, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2018. Reading leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 8 meetings. A combined 14 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.75 per match (4 for the home side, 10 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (38%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (25%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Reading are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–2 in 2022.

Drawn
3
·
4
wins
Total goals
14 · 1.8/match
Both scored
3/8 · 38%
Over 2.5
2/8 · 25%

Recent Meetings

06/11/25League One
Match Details
15/03/25League One
Match Details
09/11/24League One
Match Details
06/02/24League One
Match Details
19/08/23League One
Match Details
09/08/22League Cup
Match Details
16/01/18FA Cup
Match Details
06/01/18FA Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 12 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Stevenage have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Reading show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Stevenage

LLWDWD

Reading

LDLLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Stevenage1wins
2draws6 meetings
Reading3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.5

Average goals per game

0%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (49%) — the odds may underestimate Reading.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 53.8%Draw 31.3%Away 23.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.863.204.20
Max1.863.204.20
Over 2.5: 42.6%Under 2.5: 63.7%
Market favourite:Stevenage · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Stevenage
Result vs. Market: Stevenage (54%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

StevenageHalf-time:00Reading
14Shots4
4Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Mar 202625/261.86/3.20/4.20
6 Nov 202525/262.75/3.25/2.45
15 Mar 202524/252.40/3.30/2.96
9 Nov 202424/252.08/3.39/3.48
6 Feb 202423/241.65/3.89/5.15
19 Aug 202323/242.50/3.18/2.80

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stevenage

W 99D 75L 102
Over 2.542
Goals scored310

Away Record: Reading

W 53D 38L 47
Over 2.551
Goals scored200

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026