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Northampton vs Swindon Town

18 September 2021 at 14:00Sixfields Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands

Match Summary

Northampton and Swindon Town drew 1:1. The match was played in League Two 2021.

Rivalry since 2011

Northampton vs Swindon Town Head to Head Results· 13

Northampton and Swindon Town have met 13 times — Northampton won 5, Swindon Town won 6, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Swindon Town leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 36 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.77 per match (17 for the home side, 19 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (77%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (62%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–2 in 2022.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
36 · 2.8/match
Both scored
10/13 · 77%
Over 2.5
8/13 · 62%

Recent Meetings

29/12/22League Two
Match Details
01/10/22League Two
Match Details
01/01/22League Two
Match Details
27/02/21League One
Match Details
20/10/20League One
Match Details
11/02/20League Two
Match Details
20/08/19League Two
Match Details
26/12/18League Two
Match Details
06/10/18League Two
Match Details
14/02/17League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 52 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Northampton have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats. Swindon Town show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Northampton2wins
3draws10 meetings
Swindon Town5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Swindon Town.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.6%Draw 29.5%Away 30.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.203.30
Max2.193.503.34
Over 2.5: 48.3%Under 2.5: 58.1%
Market favourite:Northampton · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.7%27.6%28.7%
Public market44.1%27.1%28.8%

Northampton vs Swindon Town — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Northampton (47%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NorthamptonHalf-time:00Swindon Town
18Shots13
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

31/12/1111/124.12/3.44/1.88
29 Dec 202222/232.12/3.40/3.51
1 Oct 202222/232.45/3.27/3.01
1 Jan 202221/222.16/3.38/3.36
18 Sept 202121/222.15/3.39/3.31
11 Feb 202019/202.74/3.34/2.60
20 Aug 201919/201.90/3.64/4.15
26 Dec 201818/192.15/3.34/3.59
6 Oct 201818/192.41/3.46/2.97
4 Sept 201211/121.44/4.25/7.01

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Northampton

W 241D 167L 181
Over 2.546
Goals scored801

Away Record: Swindon Town

W 200D 108L 142
Over 2.555
Goals scored677

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026