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Carlisle vs Harrogate Town

4 February 2023 at 15:00Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Referee: R. Lewis

Match Summary

Harrogate Town defeated Carlisle 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2022.

Rivalry since 2021

Carlisle vs Harrogate Town Head to Head Results· 11

Carlisle and Harrogate Town have met 11 times — Carlisle won 2, Harrogate Town won 6, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. Harrogate Town leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 23 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.09 per match (9 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (27%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (18%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2022.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
23 · 2.1/match
Both scored
3/11 · 27%
Over 2.5
2/11 · 18%

Recent Meetings

26/07/25Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
08/03/25League Two
Match Details
19/10/24League Two
Match Details
14/11/23EFL Trophy
Match Details
08/08/23League Cup
Match Details
08/11/22League Two
Match Details
23/04/22League Two
Match Details
04/01/22EFL Trophy
Match Details
23/11/21League Two
Match Details
24/04/21League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Harrogate Town show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Harrogate Town dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Carlisle0wins
3draws8 meetings
Harrogate Town5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

38%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (60%) — the odds may underestimate Harrogate Town.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 61.7%Draw 25.7%Away 18.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.613.605.25
Max1.634.075.82
Over 2.5: 52.6%Under 2.5: 51.3%
Market favourite:Carlisle · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market59.8%23.7%16.5%
Public market58.4%23.6%18.0%
Δ1.4%1.5%

Carlisle vs Harrogate Town — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Harrogate Town
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (62%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:00Harrogate Town
19Shots3
8Shots on target0

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

8 Mar 202524/252.79/3.17/2.56
19 Oct 202424/251.89/3.60/3.97
4 Feb 202322/231.62/3.89/5.52
8 Nov 202222/233.17/3.37/2.28
23 Apr 202221/222.36/3.39/2.99
23 Nov 202121/222.48/3.28/2.85
24 Apr 202120/212.16/3.35/3.39
16 Feb 202120/213.30/3.28/2.24

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Away Record: Harrogate Town

W 83D 68L 125
Over 2.550
Goals scored317

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026