Menu

AFC Wimbledon vs Carlisle

11 February 2023 at 15:00The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
Referee: D. Handley

Match Summary

AFC Wimbledon and Carlisle drew 0:0. The match was played in League Two 2022.

Rivalry since 2014

AFC Wimbledon vs Carlisle Head to Head Results· 7

AFC Wimbledon and Carlisle have met 7 times — AFC Wimbledon won 3, Carlisle won 2, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. AFC Wimbledon leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 7 meetings. A combined 25 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.57 per match (14 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (71%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (71%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–4 in 2014.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
25 · 3.6/match
Both scored
5/7 · 71%
Over 2.5
5/7 · 71%

Recent Meetings

15/03/25League Two
Match Details
12/10/24League Two
Match Details
17/09/22League Two
Match Details
23/02/16League Two
Match Details
22/08/15League Two
Match Details
17/01/15League Two
Match Details
06/09/14League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 44 v 2014

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, AFC Wimbledon have recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats. Carlisle show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

AFC Wimbledon3wins
3draws8 meetings
Carlisle2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

63%

Games with 3+ goals

63%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate AFC Wimbledon.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 33.2%Draw 30.9%Away 40.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.003.002.38
Max3.033.402.50
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 60.6%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market31.9%29.3%38.7%
Public market31.8%28.1%40.1%
Δ0.1%1.3%1.4%

AFC Wimbledon vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (41%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AFC WimbledonHalf-time:00Carlisle
10Shots12
3Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

15 Mar 202524/253.14/2.99/2.44
12 Oct 202424/251.78/3.58/4.56
11 Feb 202322/233.01/3.23/2.44
17 Sept 202222/232.16/3.34/3.47
22/08/1515/162.61/3.32/2.83
23/02/1615/161.99/3.49/4.01
9 Jun 201414/152.55/3.26/2.96
17/01/1514/152.14/3.44/3.56

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: AFC Wimbledon

W 126D 104L 138
Over 2.544
Goals scored451

Away Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026