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Grimsby vs Rochdale

11 March 2023 at 15:00Blundell Park, Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire
10
Referee: J. Oldham

Match Summary

Grimsby defeated Rochdale 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2022.

Rivalry since 2018

Grimsby vs Rochdale Head to Head Results· 3

Grimsby and Rochdale have met 3 times — Grimsby won 1, Rochdale won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2018. Rochdale leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 3 meetings. A combined 5 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.67 per match (1 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–0 in 2025.

1
wins
Drawn
0
·
Total goals
5 · 1.7/match
Both scored
0/3 · 0%
Over 2.5
0/3 · 0%

Recent Meetings

19/07/25Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
13/08/22League Two
Match Details
14/08/18League Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 20 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Grimsby have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Rochdale show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Grimsby

DLDWWW

Rochdale

DWDWWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Rochdale dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Grimsby2wins
1draws10 meetings
Rochdale7wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (50%) — the odds may underestimate Rochdale.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.5%Draw 30.1%Away 23.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.933.204.00
Max1.953.514.33
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite:Grimsby · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market50.0%27.5%22.5%
Public market48.6%29.6%21.9%
Δ1.4%2.1%0.7%

Grimsby vs Rochdale — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Grimsby
Result vs. Market: Grimsby (51%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GrimsbyHalf-time:00Rochdale
10Shots8
3Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

28/02/0908/091.51/3.77/6.24
27/03/1009/101.34/4.47/8.48
11 Mar 202322/231.94/3.32/4.20
13 Aug 202222/232.42/3.32/2.98
17/10/0909/103.62/3.31/1.95
10 Dec 200707/082.23/3.24/2.92
9 Dec 200606/072.43/3.16/2.61
8 Sept 200808/092.43/3.17/2.62
4 May 200807/081.87/3.31/3.66
1 Jan 200706/071.86/3.29/3.63

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Grimsby

W 223D 181L 277
Over 2.548
Goals scored792

Away Record: Rochdale

W 176D 125L 159
Over 2.552
Goals scored653

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026