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AFC Wimbledon vs Colchester

29 December 2023 at 19:45The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London

Match Summary

AFC Wimbledon defeated Colchester 5:3. The match was played in League Two 2023.

Rivalry since 2022

AFC Wimbledon vs Colchester Head to Head Results· 6

AFC Wimbledon and Colchester have met 6 times — AFC Wimbledon won 4, Colchester won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2022. AFC Wimbledon leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 6 meetings. A combined 18 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (11 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2024.

Drawn
1
·
Total goals
18 · 3.0/match
Both scored
4/6 · 67%
Over 2.5
3/6 · 50%

Recent Meetings

22/02/25League Two
Match Details
10/12/24EFL Trophy
Match Details
10/08/24League Two
Match Details
15/08/23League Two
Match Details
29/12/22League Two
Match Details
01/10/22League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, AFC Wimbledon have recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats. Colchester show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

AFC Wimbledon dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

AFC Wimbledon5wins
1draws6 meetings
Colchester0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4

Average goals per game

67%

Games with 3+ goals

83%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (62%) — the odds may underestimate AFC Wimbledon.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 64.9%Draw 23.9%Away 17.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.504.005.50
Max1.574.366.15
Over 2.5: 58.8%Under 2.5: 47.6%
Market favourite:AFC Wimbledon · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market62.2%22.1%15.7%
Public market60.5%23.7%15.8%
Δ1.8%1.6%0.1%

AFC Wimbledon vs Colchester — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

AFC Wimbledon
Result vs. Market: AFC Wimbledon (65%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AFC WimbledonHalf-time:22Colchester
31Shots14
13Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

22 Feb 202524/252.57/2.96/2.97
10 Aug 202424/251.91/3.49/3.91
29 Dec 202323/241.54/4.19/5.88
15 Aug 202323/242.24/3.20/3.21
29 Dec 202222/232.64/3.16/2.80
1 Oct 202222/232.21/3.31/3.38

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: AFC Wimbledon

W 126D 104L 138
Over 2.544
Goals scored451

Away Record: Colchester

W 152D 136L 163
Over 2.544
Goals scored546

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026