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Milton Keynes Dons vs Accrington ST

10 February 2024 at 15:00Stadium mk, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons defeated Accrington ST 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2023.

Rivalry since 2019

Milton Keynes Dons vs Accrington ST Head to Head Results· 12

Milton Keynes Dons and Accrington ST have met 12 times — Milton Keynes Dons won 5, Accrington ST won 5, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2019. A combined 29 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.42 per match (15 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (58%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (42%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2021.

Total goals
29 · 2.4/match
Both scored
7/12 · 58%
Over 2.5
5/12 · 42%

Recent Meetings

18/03/23League One
Match Details
20/08/22League One
Match Details
08/01/22League One
Match Details
28/08/21League One
Match Details
13/03/21League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Milton Keynes Dons have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Accrington ST show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Milton Keynes Dons dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Milton Keynes Dons7wins
0draws10 meetings
Accrington ST3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (52%) — the odds may underestimate Milton Keynes Dons.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.8%Draw 25.6%Away 24.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.733.803.90
Max1.854.004.33
Over 2.5: 57.8%Under 2.5: 48.1%
Market favourite:Milton Keynes Dons · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market52.3%24.5%23.2%
Public market52.9%25.1%22.0%
Δ0.7%0.5%1.2%

Milton Keynes Dons vs Accrington ST — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Milton Keynes Dons
Result vs. Market: Milton Keynes Dons (56%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Milton Keynes DonsHalf-time:01Accrington ST
13Shots7
7Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Jan 202625/263.10/3.40/2.15
20 Sept 202525/261.51/4.34/5.29
4 Mar 202524/252.49/3.28/2.85
22 Oct 202424/251.63/4.12/5.01
24/03/0807/084.35/3.42/1.71
10 Feb 202423/241.79/3.91/4.13
21 Oct 202323/242.64/3.49/2.56
12 Sept 200606/072.58/3.18/2.43
12 Aug 200707/081.48/3.71/6.26
5 May 200706/071.35/4.21/7.46

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 138D 62L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored450

Away Record: Accrington ST

W 247D 171L 272
Over 2.550
Goals scored885

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026