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Gillingham vs Carlisle

10 August 2024 at 15:00Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham, Kent
41
Referee: B. Atkinson

Match Summary

Gillingham defeated Carlisle 4:1. The match was played in League Two 2024.

Rivalry since 2013

Gillingham vs Carlisle Head to Head Results· 7

Gillingham and Carlisle have met 7 times — Gillingham won 3, Carlisle won 2, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Gillingham leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 7 meetings. A combined 12 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.71 per match (6 for the home side, 6 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (43%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (29%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2017.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
12 · 1.7/match
Both scored
3/7 · 43%
Over 2.5
2/7 · 29%

Recent Meetings

22/02/25League Two
Match Details
25/03/23League Two
Match Details
27/08/22League Two
Match Details
19/12/17FA Cup
Match Details
02/12/17FA Cup
Match Details
08/02/14League One
Match Details
02/11/13League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2017

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Gillingham have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Carlisle show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Gillingham2wins
1draws4 meetings
Carlisle1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.8

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

25%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (49%) — the odds may underestimate Gillingham.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 50.9%Draw 28.1%Away 27.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.943.403.50
Max2.003.703.77
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite:Gillingham · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market48.7%26.3%25.0%
Public market48.0%25.3%26.7%
Δ0.7%1.0%1.7%

Gillingham vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Gillingham
Result vs. Market: Gillingham (51%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GillinghamHalf-time:10Carlisle
14Shots18
8Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

22 Feb 202524/252.40/3.18/2.96
10 Aug 202424/251.96/3.56/3.67
25 Mar 202322/233.23/3.06/2.40
27 Aug 202222/232.34/3.20/3.22

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Gillingham

W 140D 106L 122
Over 2.540
Goals scored446

Away Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026