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Harrogate Town vs Milton Keynes Dons

1 October 2024 at 19:45Exercise Stadium, Harrogate, North Yorkshire

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons defeated Harrogate Town 5:1. The match was played in League Two 2024.

Rivalry since 2023

Harrogate Town vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head Results· 5

Harrogate Town and Milton Keynes Dons have met 5 times — Harrogate Town won 1, Milton Keynes Dons won 4, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2023. Milton Keynes Dons leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 21 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.20 per match (6 for the home side, 15 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (80%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Milton Keynes Dons are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–5 in 2024.

Total goals
21 · 4.2/match
Both scored
3/5 · 60%
Over 2.5
4/5 · 80%

Recent Meetings

Highest-scoring game: 35 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Harrogate Town have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Milton Keynes Dons show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Milton Keynes Dons dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Harrogate Town1wins
0draws6 meetings
Milton Keynes Dons5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4.5

Average goals per game

83%

Games with 3+ goals

67%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (25%) — the odds may underestimate Milton Keynes Dons.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 26.4%Draw 28.1%Away 51.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.603.401.91
Max3.903.702.00
Over 2.5: 51.8%Under 2.5: 51.8%
Market favourite:Milton Keynes Dons · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market24.8%26.6%48.6%
Public market25.9%25.2%48.9%
Δ1.2%1.4%0.2%

Harrogate Town vs Milton Keynes Dons — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Milton Keynes Dons
Result vs. Market: Milton Keynes Dons (51%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Harrogate TownHalf-time:03Milton Keynes Dons
10Shots14
5Shots on target10

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 Mar 202625/261.33/4.50/8.00
20 Dec 202525/265.00/3.90/1.61
28 Jan 202524/251.74/3.78/4.44
1 Oct 202424/253.78/3.56/1.96
20 Apr 202423/243.21/3.68/2.12
30 Sept 202323/241.80/3.79/4.21

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Harrogate Town

W 83D 68L 125
Over 2.550
Goals scored317

Away Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 138D 62L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored450

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026