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Grimsby vs Milton Keynes Dons

26 October 2024 at 15:00Blundell Park, Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons defeated Grimsby 3:1. The match was played in League Two 2024.

Rivalry since 2018

Grimsby vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head Results· 8

Grimsby and Milton Keynes Dons have met 8 times — Grimsby won 4, Milton Keynes Dons won 0, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2018. Grimsby leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 8 meetings. A combined 19 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.38 per match (12 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (63%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (38%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Grimsby are currently unbeaten in the last 8 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2025.

4
wins
Drawn
4
·
Total goals
19 · 2.4/match
Both scored
5/8 · 63%
Over 2.5
3/8 · 38%

Recent Meetings

31/01/26League Two
Match Details
06/09/25League Two
Match Details
26/04/25League Two
Match Details
12/03/24League Two
Match Details
28/11/23League Two
Match Details
26/01/19League Two
Match Details
10/11/18FA Cup
Match Details
21/08/18League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Grimsby have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Milton Keynes Dons show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Grimsby3wins
4draws10 meetings
Milton Keynes Dons3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (29%) — the odds may underestimate Grimsby.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 30.8%Draw 29.7%Away 45.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.243.252.14
Max3.253.462.20
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 51.3%
Market favourite:Milton Keynes Dons · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market29.0%27.1%43.9%
Public market28.8%28.8%42.5%
Δ0.2%1.6%1.4%

Grimsby vs Milton Keynes Dons — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Milton Keynes Dons
Result vs. Market: Milton Keynes Dons (46%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GrimsbyHalf-time:10Milton Keynes Dons
15Shots12
5Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

31 Jan 202625/262.55/3.50/2.45
6 Sept 202525/261.96/3.48/3.55
26 Apr 202524/253.04/3.50/2.17
26 Oct 202424/253.25/3.37/2.18
12 Mar 202423/242.94/3.66/2.28
28 Nov 202323/241.70/3.95/4.66
26 Jan 201918/194.49/3.78/1.78
21 Aug 201818/191.72/3.68/5.28
3 Jul 200807/082.96/3.24/2.17
11 Jun 200707/081.42/3.82/6.79

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Grimsby

W 223D 181L 277
Over 2.548
Goals scored792

Away Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 138D 62L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored450

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026