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Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County

26 December 2024 at 15:00Stadium MK, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire

Match Summary

Notts County defeated Milton Keynes Dons 2:0. The match was played in League Two 2024.

Rivalry since 2011

Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County Head to Head Results· 15

Milton Keynes Dons and Notts County have met 15 times — Milton Keynes Dons won 8, Notts County won 2, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Milton Keynes Dons leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 48 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.20 per match (29 for the home side, 19 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (80%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Notts County are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2024.

Total goals
48 · 3.2/match
Both scored
12/15 · 80%
Over 2.5
10/15 · 67%

Recent Meetings

29/12/25League Two
Match Details
09/12/25League Two
Match Details
02/04/25League Two
Match Details
01/04/24League Two
Match Details
09/09/23League Two
Match Details
19/04/19League Two
Match Details
23/10/18League Two
Match Details
21/03/15League One
Match Details
26/12/14League One
Match Details
11/03/14League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Milton Keynes Dons have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Notts County show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Milton Keynes Dons4wins
3draws10 meetings
Notts County3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 6.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 43.3%Draw 28.4%Away 35.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.303.502.80
Max2.333.552.88
Over 2.5: 59.9%Under 2.5: 46.5%
Market favourite:Milton Keynes Dons · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market40.4%26.5%33.1%
Public market40.3%26.5%33.1%

Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Notts County
Result vs. Market: Milton Keynes Dons (43%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Milton Keynes DonsHalf-time:00Notts County
13Shots11
5Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

26/12/0707/083.42/3.36/1.93
29 Dec 202525/261.86/3.40/3.90
9 Dec 202525/262.75/3.20/2.40
2 Apr 202524/251.70/4.06/4.29
26 Dec 202424/252.31/3.52/2.84
1 Apr 202423/242.73/3.72/2.39
9 Sept 202323/242.86/3.62/2.28
19 Apr 201918/193.35/3.51/2.17
23 Oct 201818/191.65/4.22/5.09
9 Jul 200707/081.71/3.42/4.38

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 138D 62L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored450

Away Record: Notts County

W 211D 159L 228
Over 2.552
Goals scored789

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026