Menu

Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle

25 January 2025 at 15:00Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood, Lancashire
Referee: M. Corlett

Match Summary

Carlisle defeated Fleetwood Town 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2024.

Rivalry since 2013

Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle Head to Head Results· 7

Fleetwood Town and Carlisle have met 7 times — Fleetwood Town won 4, Carlisle won 1, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Fleetwood Town leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 7 meetings. A combined 24 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.43 per match (14 for the home side, 10 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (86%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (57%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Fleetwood Town are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2016.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
24 · 3.4/match
Both scored
6/7 · 86%
Over 2.5
4/7 · 57%

Recent Meetings

14/09/24League Two
Match Details
26/12/23League One
Match Details
05/08/23League One
Match Details
01/09/20EFL Trophy
Match Details
08/11/17EFL Trophy
Match Details
09/11/16EFL Trophy
Match Details
13/11/13EFL Trophy
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Fleetwood Town have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Carlisle show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4

Average goals per game

100%

Games with 3+ goals

100%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
2 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (52%) — the odds may underestimate Carlisle.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

25 Jan 202524/251.83/3.53/4.25
Match Details
14 Sept 202424/252.30/3.42/2.98
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 54.5%Draw 28.3%Away 23.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.793.504.10
Max1.913.604.44
Over 2.5: 49.3%Under 2.5: 54.6%
Market favourite:Fleetwood Town · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market52.2%26.7%21.1%
Public market51.6%25.8%22.6%
Δ0.7%0.9%1.6%

Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Carlisle
Result vs. Market: Fleetwood Town (55%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Fleetwood TownHalf-time:01Carlisle
13Shots9
5Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Fleetwood Town

W 67D 56L 61
Over 2.547
Goals scored238

Away Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026