Menu

Barrow vs Milton Keynes Dons

11 February 2025 at 19:45SO Legal Stadium, Barrow-in-Furness, Cumbria
Referee: S. Mather

Match Summary

Barrow defeated Milton Keynes Dons 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2024.

Rivalry since 2023

Barrow vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head Results· 5

Barrow and Milton Keynes Dons have met 5 times — Barrow won 2, Milton Keynes Dons won 1, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2023. Barrow leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 10 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (6 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (20%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2023.

2
wins
Drawn
2
·
Total goals
10 · 2.0/match
Both scored
1/5 · 20%
Over 2.5
2/5 · 40%

Recent Meetings

03/04/26League Two
Match Details
09/08/25League Two
Match Details
05/04/25League Two
Match Details
03/02/24League Two
Match Details
14/10/23League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Barrow have recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats. Milton Keynes Dons show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Barrow3wins
2draws6 meetings
Milton Keynes Dons1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (47%) — the odds may underestimate Barrow.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 48.9%Draw 30.2%Away 26.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.003.253.60
Max2.103.403.95
Over 2.5: 46.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Barrow · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market47.0%28.9%24.1%
Public market46.6%27.4%25.9%
Δ0.3%1.5%1.8%

Barrow vs Milton Keynes Dons — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Barrow
Result vs. Market: Barrow (49%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BarrowHalf-time:11Milton Keynes Dons
13Shots7
5Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

3 Apr 202625/261.37/4.50/7.50
9 Aug 202525/262.53/3.31/2.70
5 Apr 202524/252.48/3.22/2.81
11 Feb 202524/252.04/3.32/3.75
3 Feb 202423/242.35/3.37/3.00
14 Oct 202323/242.09/3.46/3.54

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Barrow

W 83D 71L 122
Over 2.543
Goals scored303

Away Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 138D 62L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored450

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026