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Notts County vs Barrow

4 March 2025 at 19:45Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
12
Away

Barrow

Referee: M. Barlow

Match Summary

Barrow defeated Notts County 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2024.

Rivalry since 2019

Notts County vs Barrow Head to Head Results· 7

Notts County and Barrow have met 7 times — Notts County won 2, Barrow won 2, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2019. A combined 17 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.43 per match (8 for the home side, 9 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (71%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (43%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2026.

Drawn
3
·
2
wins
Total goals
17 · 2.4/match
Both scored
5/7 · 71%
Over 2.5
3/7 · 43%

Recent Meetings

07/02/26League Two
Match Details
16/08/25League Two
Match Details
22/10/24League Two
Match Details
27/01/24League Two
Match Details
07/10/23League Two
Match Details
07/03/20National League
Match Details
16/11/19National League
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 21 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Notts County have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Barrow show 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Barrow

LLLWLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Notts County1wins
3draws6 meetings
Barrow2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

100%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (57%) — the odds may underestimate Barrow.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 59.6%Draw 26.6%Away 19.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.653.705.00
Max1.703.885.07
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite:Notts County · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market56.7%24.5%18.8%
Public market56.3%25.1%18.6%

Notts County vs Barrow — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Barrow
Result vs. Market: Notts County (60%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Notts CountyHalf-time:01Barrow
14Shots6
4Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 Feb 202625/261.51/4.10/5.25
16 Aug 202525/262.72/3.17/2.59
4 Mar 202524/251.68/3.76/5.02
22 Oct 202424/252.58/3.44/2.66
27 Jan 202423/242.12/3.67/3.23
7 Oct 202323/243.55/3.58/2.03

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Notts County

W 211D 159L 228
Over 2.552
Goals scored789

Away Record: Barrow

W 83D 71L 122
Over 2.543
Goals scored303

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026