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Crewe vs Milton Keynes Dons

21 April 2025 at 15:00Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons defeated Crewe 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2024.

Rivalry since 2012

Crewe vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head Results· 17

Crewe and Milton Keynes Dons have met 17 times — Crewe won 6, Milton Keynes Dons won 9, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Milton Keynes Dons leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 50 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.94 per match (19 for the home side, 31 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (53%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (53%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Milton Keynes Dons are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–1 in 2014.

6
wins
Drawn
2
·
Total goals
50 · 2.9/match
Both scored
9/17 · 53%
Over 2.5
9/17 · 53%

Recent Meetings

18/04/26League Two
Match Details
18/10/25League Two
Match Details
29/12/24League Two
Match Details
16/03/24League Two
Match Details
02/09/23League Two
Match Details
05/04/22League One
Match Details
30/10/21League One
Match Details
05/04/21League One
Match Details
26/09/20League One
Match Details
19/01/19League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 61 v 2014

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Crewe have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Milton Keynes Dons show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Crewe2wins
2draws8 meetings
Milton Keynes Dons4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

63%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (45%) — the odds may underestimate Milton Keynes Dons.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 48.9%Draw 29.5%Away 28.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.003.373.46
Max2.093.403.50
Over 2.5: 50.5%Under 2.5: 53.2%
Market favourite:Crewe · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market45.0%27.9%27.2%
Public market46.3%27.2%26.5%
Δ1.3%0.6%0.7%

Crewe vs Milton Keynes Dons — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Milton Keynes Dons
Result vs. Market: Crewe (49%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CreweHalf-time:01Milton Keynes Dons
19Shots10
1Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

18 Apr 202625/263.60/3.40/1.96
18 Oct 202525/261.76/3.57/4.44
21 Apr 202524/252.04/3.38/3.48
29 Dec 202424/252.03/3.46/3.47
16 Mar 202423/241.92/3.68/3.87
2 Sept 202323/242.98/3.32/2.32
19 Jan 201918/191.68/4.09/4.81
18 Aug 201818/193.04/3.49/2.35

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Crewe

W 190D 125L 182
Over 2.551
Goals scored699

Away Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 138D 62L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored450

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026