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Milton Keynes Dons vs Bristol Rovers

27 January 2026 at 19:45Stadium MK, Milton Keynes

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons defeated Bristol Rovers 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2025.

Rivalry since 2016

Milton Keynes Dons vs Bristol Rovers Head to Head Results· 12

Milton Keynes Dons and Bristol Rovers have met 12 times — Milton Keynes Dons won 5, Bristol Rovers won 5, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. A combined 29 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.42 per match (17 for the home side, 12 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (17%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2016.

Total goals
29 · 2.4/match
Both scored
2/12 · 17%
Over 2.5
4/12 · 33%

Recent Meetings

04/02/23League One
Match Details
13/12/22EFL Trophy
Match Details
11/10/22League One
Match Details
20/04/21League One
Match Details
26/12/20League One
Match Details
01/01/20League One
Match Details
12/10/19League One
Match Details
03/03/18League One
Match Details
28/10/17League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Milton Keynes Dons have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Bristol Rovers show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Milton Keynes Dons dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Milton Keynes Dons3wins
1draws4 meetings
Bristol Rovers0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

25%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (60%) — the odds may underestimate Milton Keynes Dons.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 65.4%Draw 25.6%Away 17.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.533.905.75
Max1.533.905.75
Over 2.5: 51.3%Under 2.5: 52.6%
Market favourite:Milton Keynes Dons · Heavy favourite

Result vs. Market

Milton Keynes Dons
Result vs. Market: Milton Keynes Dons (65%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Milton Keynes DonsHalf-time:10Bristol Rovers
12Shots14
3Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27 Jan 202625/261.53/3.90/5.75
11 Oct 202525/262.43/3.13/2.89
19/08/0606/071.69/3.31/4.46
17/02/0706/072.39/3.16/2.64

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 138D 62L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored450

Away Record: Bristol Rovers

W 161D 103L 150
Over 2.548
Goals scored535

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026