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Cheltenham vs Milton Keynes Dons

7 February 2026 at 15:01Whaddon Road, Cheltenham

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons defeated Cheltenham 3:2. The match was played in League Two 2025.

Rivalry since 2011

Cheltenham vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head Results· 11

Cheltenham and Milton Keynes Dons have met 11 times — Cheltenham won 2, Milton Keynes Dons won 6, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Milton Keynes Dons leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 36 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.27 per match (12 for the home side, 24 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (64%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (73%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Milton Keynes Dons are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–0 in 2025.

Total goals
36 · 3.3/match
Both scored
7/11 · 64%
Over 2.5
8/11 · 73%

Recent Meetings

16/08/25League Two
Match Details
22/03/25League Two
Match Details
16/11/24League Two
Match Details
15/04/23League One
Match Details
29/10/22League One
Match Details
30/08/22EFL Trophy
Match Details
08/03/22League One
Match Details
04/09/21League One
Match Details
26/12/18League Two
Match Details
06/10/18League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 50 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Cheltenham have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Milton Keynes Dons show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Milton Keynes Dons dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Cheltenham1wins
0draws6 meetings
Milton Keynes Dons5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.8

Average goals per game

83%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (22%) — the odds may underestimate Cheltenham.

Market Summary

Margin: 9.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 23.8%Draw 27.0%Away 58.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.203.701.71
Max4.203.701.71
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite:Milton Keynes Dons · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

Milton Keynes Dons
Result vs. Market: Milton Keynes Dons (58%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CheltenhamHalf-time:12Milton Keynes Dons
14Shots19
2Shots on target9

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 Feb 202625/264.20/3.70/1.71
16 Aug 202525/261.55/4.00/5.65
22 Mar 202524/252.20/3.39/3.22
16 Nov 202424/251.75/3.89/4.33
26 Dec 201818/194.12/3.44/1.98
6 Oct 201818/191.60/4.19/5.59

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Cheltenham

W 234D 194L 252
Over 2.545
Goals scored842

Away Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 138D 62L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored450

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026