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Monaco vs Marseille

12 April 2025 at 16:00Stade Louis-II, Monaco
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Monaco

30
Referee: B. Bastien

Match Summary

Monaco defeated Marseille 3:0. The match was played in Ligue 1 2024.

Rivalry since 2010

Monaco vs Marseille Head to Head Results· 27

Monaco and Marseille have met 27 times — Monaco won 12, Marseille won 8, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Monaco leads the head-to-head with 12 victories from 27 meetings. A combined 92 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.41 per match (53 for the home side, 39 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 20 matches (74%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 19 games (70%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2019.

12
wins
Drawn
7
·
Total goals
92 · 3.4/match
Both scored
20/27 · 74%
Over 2.5
19/27 · 70%

Recent Meetings

05/04/26Ligue 1
Match Details
14/12/25Ligue 1
Match Details
01/12/24Ligue 1
Match Details
27/01/24Ligue 1
Match Details
30/09/23Ligue 1
Match Details
28/01/23Ligue 1
Match Details
13/11/22Ligue 1
Match Details
06/03/22Ligue 1
Match Details
11/09/21Ligue 1
Match Details
23/01/21Ligue 1
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2019

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Monaco have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Marseille show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Monaco

LLWDDL

Marseille

WWLDLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Monaco4wins
2draws10 meetings
Marseille4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Monaco.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 49.6%Draw 25.9%Away 29.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.003.803.40
Max2.033.933.47
Over 2.5: 65.4%Under 2.5: 40.0%
Market favourite:Monaco · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market47.6%24.6%27.8%
Public market47.3%24.9%27.8%

Monaco vs Marseille — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Monaco
Result vs. Market: Monaco (50%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MonacoHalf-time:10Marseille
15Shots8
10Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

5 Apr 202625/262.15/3.75/3.10
14 Dec 202525/261.92/3.84/3.78
12 Apr 202524/252.01/3.87/3.44
1 Dec 202424/252.64/3.52/2.58
27 Jan 202423/242.41/3.66/2.73
30 Sept 202323/242.17/3.83/3.08
28 Jan 202322/232.11/3.66/3.40
13 Nov 202222/232.31/3.61/2.96
6 Mar 202221/222.32/3.22/3.31
11 Sept 202121/222.04/3.59/3.58

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Monaco

W 527D 306L 302
Over 2.550
Goals scored1769

Away Record: Marseille

W 527D 305L 303
Over 2.547
Goals scored1676

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026