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Bastia vs PAU

13 January 2023 at 19:45Stade Armand-Césari, Furiani
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Bastia

10
Away

PAU

Referee: P. Legat

Match Summary

Bastia defeated PAU 1:0. The match was played in Ligue 2 2022.

Rivalry since 2021

Bastia vs PAU Head to Head Results· 9

Bastia and PAU have met 9 times — Bastia won 2, PAU won 2, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. A combined 30 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.33 per match (15 for the home side, 15 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (89%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Bastia are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–6 in 2023.

2
wins
Drawn
5
·
2
wins
Total goals
30 · 3.3/match
Both scored
8/9 · 89%
Over 2.5
4/9 · 44%

Recent Meetings

06/03/26Ligue 2
Match Details
15/08/25Ligue 2
Match Details
24/01/25Ligue 2
Match Details
22/10/24Ligue 2
Match Details
10/05/24Ligue 2
Match Details
26/09/23Ligue 2
Match Details
20/05/23Ligue 2
Match Details
05/02/22Ligue 2
Match Details
21/08/21Ligue 2
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 26 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bastia have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. PAU show 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Bastia

LWDWLD

PAU

LLLWWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Bastia3wins
5draws10 meetings
PAU2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

80%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (47%) — the odds may underestimate PAU.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 48.3%Draw 31.5%Away 26.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.053.003.60
Max2.103.304.19
Over 2.5: 40.0%Under 2.5: 66.7%
Market favourite:Bastia · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market46.9%30.0%23.1%
Public market45.6%28.4%26.0%
Δ1.3%1.7%2.9%

Bastia vs PAU — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Bastia
Result vs. Market: Bastia (48%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BastiaHalf-time:00PAU
14Shots6
6Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

6 Mar 202625/262.25/3.20/3.10
15 Aug 202525/261.77/3.42/4.60
24 Jan 202524/251.93/3.37/4.13
22 Oct 202424/252.30/3.11/3.23
10 May 202423/241.94/3.59/3.79
26 Sept 202323/241.69/3.67/4.86
20 May 202322/232.25/3.25/3.26
13 Jan 202322/232.07/3.17/3.85
5 Feb 202221/222.07/3.21/3.72
21 Aug 202121/222.34/3.09/3.22

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bastia

W 145D 118L 146
Over 2.538
Goals scored483

Away Record: PAU

W 72D 62L 86
Over 2.550
Goals scored270

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026