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Guingamp vs Valenciennes

16 March 2024 at 18:00Stade du Roudourou, Guingamp
Referee: A. Petit

Match Summary

Guingamp defeated Valenciennes 3:0. The match was played in Ligue 2 2023.

Rivalry since 2013

Guingamp vs Valenciennes Head to Head Results· 11

Guingamp and Valenciennes have met 11 times — Guingamp won 3, Valenciennes won 2, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Guingamp leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 16 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.45 per match (9 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (45%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (9%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2023.

Drawn
6
·
Total goals
16 · 1.5/match
Both scored
5/11 · 45%
Over 2.5
1/11 · 9%

Recent Meetings

19/08/23Ligue 2
Match Details
11/02/23Ligue 2
Match Details
15/10/22Ligue 2
Match Details
08/01/22Ligue 2
Match Details
31/07/21Ligue 2
Match Details
17/04/21Ligue 2
Match Details
12/12/20Ligue 2
Match Details
04/02/20Ligue 2
Match Details
26/08/19Ligue 2
Match Details
26/04/14Ligue 1
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Guingamp have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. Valenciennes show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Guingamp3wins
5draws10 meetings
Valenciennes2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.6

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (63%) — the odds may underestimate Valenciennes.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 65.4%Draw 26.2%Away 14.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.503.706.50
Max1.553.967.38
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 60.6%
Market favourite:Guingamp · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market62.6%24.3%13.1%
Public market60.7%24.8%14.5%
Δ1.9%0.4%1.4%

Guingamp vs Valenciennes — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Guingamp
Result vs. Market: Guingamp (65%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GuingampHalf-time:20Valenciennes
14Shots5
8Shots on target0

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

16 Mar 202423/241.53/3.82/6.96
19 Aug 202323/243.38/3.28/2.12
11 Feb 202322/231.92/3.23/4.22
15 Oct 202222/232.86/3.11/2.56
8 Jan 202221/222.86/3.12/2.45
31 Jul 202121/221.87/3.34/4.46
17 Apr 202120/213.78/3.20/2.08
12 Dec 202020/211.97/3.33/4.09
4 Feb 202019/202.84/3.02/2.67
26 Aug 201919/201.69/3.49/5.65

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Guingamp

W 225D 204L 199
Over 2.542
Goals scored781

Away Record: Valenciennes

W 122D 131L 154
Over 2.541
Goals scored445

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026