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Bastia vs Paris FC

20 September 2024 at 19:00Stade Armand-Césari, Furiani
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Bastia

21
Referee: A. Valnet

Match Summary

Bastia defeated Paris FC 2:1. The match was played in Ligue 2 2024.

Rivalry since 2021

Bastia vs Paris FC Head to Head Results· 7

Bastia and Paris FC have met 7 times — Bastia won 2, Paris FC won 4, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. Paris FC leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 7 meetings. A combined 10 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.43 per match (4 for the home side, 6 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (29%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (14%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Paris FC are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2022.

2
wins
Drawn
1
·
Total goals
10 · 1.4/match
Both scored
2/7 · 29%
Over 2.5
1/7 · 14%

Recent Meetings

19/04/25Ligue 2
Match Details
17/05/24Ligue 2
Match Details
11/11/23Ligue 2
Match Details
18/03/23Ligue 2
Match Details
05/11/22Ligue 2
Match Details
22/04/22Ligue 2
Match Details
03/12/21Ligue 2
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 21 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bastia have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Paris FC show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Bastia

LWDWLD

Paris FC

LWLWWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.6

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

38%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

3
wins
draws
1
8 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (29%) — the odds may underestimate Bastia.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

19 Apr 202524/251.84/3.44/4.25
Match Details
20 Sept 202424/253.20/3.08/2.32
Match Details
17 May 202423/243.92/3.72/1.82
Match Details
11 Nov 202323/241.96/3.46/3.69
Match Details
18 Mar 202322/232.22/3.06/3.53
Match Details
5 Nov 202222/232.58/2.93/3.02
Match Details
22 Apr 202221/222.97/2.81/2.62
Match Details
3 Dec 202121/222.16/3.03/3.75
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 7.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 31.3%Draw 32.5%Away 43.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.103.002.25
Max3.303.132.40
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite:Paris FC · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market29.2%30.7%40.1%
Public market28.7%30.6%40.8%

Bastia vs Paris FC — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Bastia
Result vs. Market: Paris FC (43%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BastiaHalf-time:21Paris FC
15Shots13
5Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bastia

W 145D 118L 146
Over 2.538
Goals scored483

Away Record: Paris FC

W 133D 102L 93
Over 2.539
Goals scored392

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026