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Ajaccio vs Dunkerque

3 March 2025 at 19:45Stade Michel-Moretti, Ajaccio
12
Referee: A. Valnet

Match Summary

Dunkerque defeated Ajaccio 2:1. The match was played in Ligue 2 2024.

Rivalry since 2020

Ajaccio vs Dunkerque Head to Head Results· 7

3
wins
Drawn
1
·
Total goals
16 · 2.3/match
Both scored
3/7 · 43%
Over 2.5
3/7 · 43%

Recent Meetings

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23/01/24Ligue 2
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02/09/23Ligue 2
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19/04/22Ligue 2
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20/11/21Ligue 2
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23/01/21Ligue 2
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30/09/20Ligue 2
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Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Ajaccio3wins
1draws8 meetings
Dunkerque4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (27%) — the odds may underestimate Ajaccio.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 29.0%Draw 34.6%Away 43.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.402.872.30
Max3.562.902.35
Over 2.5: 37.0%Under 2.5: 69.4%
Market favourite:Dunkerque · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market26.6%33.0%40.3%
Public market27.4%32.1%40.5%

Ajaccio vs Dunkerque — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Dunkerque
Result vs. Market: Dunkerque (43%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AjaccioHalf-time:01Dunkerque
11Shots9
3Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

3 Mar 202524/253.45/2.89/2.32
25 Nov 202424/252.02/3.23/3.83
23 Jan 202423/242.73/2.95/2.66
2 Sept 202323/241.86/3.27/4.36
19 Apr 202221/221.42/3.81/9.52
20 Nov 202121/223.72/2.93/2.23
23 Jan 202120/213.99/3.13/2.03
30 Sept 202020/212.05/3.16/3.88

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ajaccio

W 259D 202L 247
Over 2.536
Goals scored756

Away Record: Dunkerque

W 58D 43L 81
Over 2.541
Goals scored198

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026