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Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen

26 February 2016 at 19:00Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers

Match Summary

Excelsior defeated NEC Nijmegen 2:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2015.

Rivalry since 2010

Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen Head to Head Results· 16

Excelsior and NEC Nijmegen have met 16 times — Excelsior won 5, NEC Nijmegen won 9, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. NEC Nijmegen leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 16 meetings. A combined 51 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.19 per match (18 for the home side, 33 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (44%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (56%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. NEC Nijmegen are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2023.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
51 · 3.2/match
Both scored
7/16 · 44%
Over 2.5
9/16 · 56%

Recent Meetings

04/04/26Eredivisie
Match Details
09/08/25Eredivisie
Match Details
06/05/24Eredivisie
Match Details
13/08/23Eredivisie
Match Details
19/02/23Eredivisie
Match Details
08/10/22Eredivisie
Match Details
09/04/21Eerste Divisie
Match Details
08/01/21Eerste Divisie
Match Details
06/12/19Eerste Divisie
Match Details
22/04/17Eredivisie
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Excelsior have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. NEC Nijmegen show 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Excelsior3wins
2draws10 meetings
NEC Nijmegen5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate NEC Nijmegen.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 40.3%Draw 29.8%Away 35.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.403.252.62
Max2.553.422.94
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market38.3%28.5%33.2%
Public market39.0%27.5%33.4%

Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Excelsior
Result vs. Market: Excelsior (40%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ExcelsiorHalf-time:10NEC Nijmegen

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

4 Apr 202625/263.50/4.00/1.95
9 Aug 202525/261.75/3.95/4.39
6 May 202423/242.92/3.78/2.25
13 Aug 202323/241.49/4.43/5.83
19 Feb 202322/233.18/3.52/2.21
8 Oct 202222/231.51/4.43/6.22
18/12/1616/172.37/3.36/2.94
22/04/1716/172.39/3.49/2.83
8 Dec 201515/161.80/3.75/4.27
26/02/1615/162.48/3.36/2.79

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Excelsior

W 100D 102L 239
Over 2.561
Goals scored519

Away Record: NEC Nijmegen

W 283D 238L 396
Over 2.553
Goals scored1183

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026