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Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen

15 January 2017 at 15:45Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Referee: Siemen Mulder

Match Summary

NEC Nijmegen defeated Willem II 1:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2016.

Rivalry since 2010

Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen Head to Head Results· 11

Willem II and NEC Nijmegen have met 11 times — Willem II won 1, NEC Nijmegen won 6, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. NEC Nijmegen leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 27 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.45 per match (11 for the home side, 16 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (45%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (36%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–5 in 2010.

Drawn
4
·
Total goals
27 · 2.5/match
Both scored
5/11 · 45%
Over 2.5
4/11 · 36%

Recent Meetings

03/05/25Eredivisie
Match Details
22/12/24Eredivisie
Match Details
22/12/21Eredivisie
Match Details
12/09/21Eredivisie
Match Details
25/09/16Eredivisie
Match Details
17/01/16Eredivisie
Match Details
28/08/15Eredivisie
Match Details
22/02/13Eredivisie
Match Details
22/09/12Eredivisie
Match Details
11/12/10Eredivisie
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 35 v 2010

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Willem II have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. NEC Nijmegen show 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Willem II2wins
3draws10 meetings
NEC Nijmegen5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.8

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (51%) — the odds may underestimate NEC Nijmegen.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 53.0%Draw 29.6%Away 23.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.853.303.80
Max1.913.444.80
Market favourite:Willem II · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market51.3%28.4%20.3%
Public market50.7%27.6%21.7%
Δ0.6%0.8%1.4%

Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

NEC Nijmegen
Result vs. Market: Willem II (53%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Willem IIHalf-time:00NEC Nijmegen

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

3 May 202524/251.58/4.28/5.29
22 Dec 202424/252.86/3.39/2.44
22 Dec 202121/222.54/3.23/2.87
12 Sept 202121/222.74/3.33/2.56
25/09/1616/172.53/3.28/2.78
15/01/1716/171.89/3.38/4.31
28/08/1515/161.82/3.59/4.28
17/01/1615/162.06/3.50/3.50
17/03/0099/00
2 Sept 200099/00

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Willem II

W 292D 209L 443
Over 2.558
Goals scored1240

Away Record: NEC Nijmegen

W 283D 238L 396
Over 2.553
Goals scored1183

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026