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Heerenveen vs Willem II

13 December 2019 at 19:00Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
12
Referee: Dennis Higler

Match Summary

Willem II defeated Heerenveen 2:1. The match was played in Eredivisie 2019.

Rivalry since 2010

Heerenveen vs Willem II Head to Head Results· 21

Heerenveen and Willem II have met 21 times — Heerenveen won 12, Willem II won 6, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Heerenveen leads the head-to-head with 12 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 74 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.52 per match (45 for the home side, 29 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 16 matches (76%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 games (76%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Heerenveen are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2011.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
74 · 3.5/match
Both scored
16/21 · 76%
Over 2.5
16/21 · 76%

Recent Meetings

04/04/25Eredivisie
Match Details
08/12/24Eredivisie
Match Details
05/03/22Eredivisie
Match Details
21/11/21Eredivisie
Match Details
13/03/21Eredivisie
Match Details
12/09/20Eredivisie
Match Details
03/03/19Eredivisie
Match Details
08/12/18Eredivisie
Match Details
03/03/18Eredivisie
Match Details
25/10/17KNVB Beker
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2011

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Heerenveen have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Willem II show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Heerenveen dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Heerenveen7wins
1draws10 meetings
Willem II2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.4

Average goals per game

80%

Games with 3+ goals

80%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate Heerenveen.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 58.4%Draw 24.6%Away 22.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.704.004.33
Max1.744.204.50
Over 2.5: 63.7%Under 2.5: 42.6%
Market favourite:Heerenveen · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market55.3%22.9%21.8%
Public market55.5%23.6%21.0%

Heerenveen vs Willem II — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Willem II
Result vs. Market: Heerenveen (58%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

HeerenveenHalf-time:12Willem II
21Shots4
9Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

4 Apr 202524/251.46/4.47/7.41
8 Dec 202424/252.44/3.24/2.94
5 Mar 202221/222.46/3.31/2.90
21 Nov 202121/221.98/3.59/3.69
13 Mar 202120/212.70/3.57/2.44
12 Sept 202020/212.55/3.56/2.64
13 Dec 201919/201.71/4.07/4.42
3 Mar 201918/191.85/3.79/3.96
8 Dec 201818/192.20/3.51/3.16
23/09/1717/183.43/3.52/2.08

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Heerenveen

W 440D 288L 385
Over 2.562
Goals scored1822

Away Record: Willem II

W 292D 209L 443
Over 2.558
Goals scored1240

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026