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Heracles vs Willem II

10 April 2021 at 17:45Erve Asito, Almelo
40
Referee: P. van Boekel

Match Summary

Heracles defeated Willem II 4:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2020.

Rivalry since 2010

Heracles vs Willem II Head to Head Results· 23

Heracles and Willem II have met 23 times — Heracles won 11, Willem II won 8, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Heracles leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 23 meetings. A combined 82 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.57 per match (42 for the home side, 40 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 15 matches (65%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 17 games (74%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Heracles are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–6 in 2011.

11
wins
Drawn
4
·
Total goals
82 · 3.6/match
Both scored
15/23 · 65%
Over 2.5
17/23 · 74%

Recent Meetings

09/05/25Eredivisie
Match Details
25/08/24Eredivisie
Match Details
17/02/23Eerste Divisie
Match Details
04/11/22Eerste Divisie
Match Details
07/05/22Eredivisie
Match Details
02/10/21Eredivisie
Match Details
20/09/20Eredivisie
Match Details
02/02/20Eredivisie
Match Details
15/09/19Eredivisie
Match Details
02/04/19Eredivisie
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 26 v 2011

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Heracles have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. Willem II show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Heracles

LLLLLD

Willem II

WDWWWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Heracles4wins
1draws10 meetings
Willem II5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.8

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (45%) — the odds may underestimate Heracles.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 47.6%Draw 28.2%Away 29.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.053.503.40
Max2.153.643.50
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 51.3%
Market favourite:Heracles · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market45.2%26.7%28.1%
Public market46.1%27.0%27.0%
Δ0.8%0.3%1.1%

Heracles vs Willem II — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Heracles
Result vs. Market: Heracles (48%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

HeraclesHalf-time:20Willem II
10Shots9
5Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

9 May 202524/252.75/3.31/2.62
25 Aug 202424/252.42/3.57/2.76
7 May 202221/222.23/3.37/3.28
2 Oct 202121/221.87/3.72/3.92
10 Apr 202120/212.10/3.55/3.45
20 Sept 202020/212.13/3.48/3.33
2 Feb 202019/201.91/3.73/3.74
15 Sept 201919/202.11/3.68/3.23
2 Apr 201918/192.38/3.60/2.79
26 Aug 201818/192.20/3.56/3.05

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Heracles

W 211D 147L 313
Over 2.560
Goals scored900

Away Record: Willem II

W 292D 209L 443
Over 2.558
Goals scored1240

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026