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Groningen vs Ajax

16 May 2023 at 14:00Euroborg, Groningen
23
Away

Ajax

Referee: J. Manschot

Match Summary

Ajax defeated Groningen 3:2. The match was played in Eredivisie 2022.

Rivalry since 2010

Groningen vs Ajax Head to Head Results· 30

Groningen and Ajax have met 30 times — Groningen won 5, Ajax won 21, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Ajax leads the head-to-head with 21 victories from 30 meetings. A combined 82 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.73 per match (23 for the home side, 59 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 14 matches (47%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 games (47%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–1 in 2022.

Drawn
4
·
21
wins
Total goals
82 · 2.7/match
Both scored
14/30 · 47%
Over 2.5
14/30 · 47%

Recent Meetings

21/05/26Eredivisie
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07/03/26Eredivisie
Match Details
02/12/25Eredivisie
Match Details
14/05/25Eredivisie
Match Details
06/10/24Eredivisie
Match Details
14/08/22Eredivisie
Match Details
02/04/22Eredivisie
Match Details
25/09/21Eredivisie
Match Details
07/03/21Eredivisie
Match Details
04/10/20Eredivisie
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 61 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Groningen have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Ajax show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Groningen

WLLDWW

Ajax

DWDLDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.8

Average goals per game

80%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Ajax dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings
7
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (8%) — the odds may underestimate Groningen.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 Mar 202625/262.80/3.60/2.45
Match Details
2 Dec 202525/261.71/4.13/4.33
Match Details
14 May 202524/254.83/4.15/1.64
Match Details
6 Oct 202424/251.35/5.13/8.02
Match Details
14 May 202322/2312.22/6.30/1.23
14 Aug 202222/231.16/7.96/14.74
Match Details
2 Apr 202221/2211.67/5.87/1.25
Match Details
25 Sept 202121/221.05/12.40/37.35
Match Details
7 Mar 202120/211.22/6.60/12.46
Match Details
4 Oct 202020/216.83/4.91/1.42
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 8.2%Draw 15.9%Away 81.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min11.675.801.22
Max13.006.611.25
Over 2.5: 71.4%Under 2.5: 34.7%
Market favourite:Ajax · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market8.3%14.6%77.1%
Public market7.3%14.6%78.0%

Groningen vs Ajax — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Ajax
Result vs. Market: Ajax (81%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GroningenHalf-time:11Ajax
12Shots18
5Shots on target8

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Groningen

W 336D 255L 420
Over 2.552
Goals scored1329

Away Record: Ajax

W 739D 213L 160
Over 2.565
Goals scored2743

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026