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AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen

10 August 2025 at 13:30AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
41
Referee: S. Gozubuyuk

Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar defeated Groningen 4:1. The match was played in Eredivisie 2025.

Rivalry since 2010

AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen Head to Head Results· 33

AZ Alkmaar and Groningen have met 33 times — AZ Alkmaar won 15, Groningen won 9, with 9 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. AZ Alkmaar leads the head-to-head with 15 victories from 33 meetings. A combined 82 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.48 per match (48 for the home side, 34 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 14 matches (42%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 games (45%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–4 in 2015.

Drawn
9
·
Total goals
82 · 2.5/match
Both scored
14/33 · 42%
Over 2.5
15/33 · 45%

Recent Meetings

22/03/26Eredivisie
Match Details
11/05/25Eredivisie
Match Details
18/12/24KNVB Beker
Match Details
25/08/24Eredivisie
Match Details
11/03/23Eredivisie
Match Details
01/10/22Eredivisie
Match Details
21/12/21Eredivisie
Match Details
24/10/21Eredivisie
Match Details
13/05/21Eredivisie
Match Details
06/12/20Eredivisie
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 24 v 2015

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, AZ Alkmaar have recorded 1 win, 5 draws and 0 defeats. Groningen show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

AZ Alkmaar5wins
2draws10 meetings
Groningen3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (63%) — the odds may underestimate AZ Alkmaar.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 65.8%Draw 23.0%Away 16.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.514.336.00
Max1.534.376.00
Over 2.5: 57.8%Under 2.5: 48.1%
Market favourite:AZ Alkmaar · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market62.6%21.6%15.8%
Public market62.2%22.0%15.9%

AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

AZ Alkmaar
Result vs. Market: AZ Alkmaar (66%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AZ AlkmaarHalf-time:31Groningen
10Shots11
5Shots on target8

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

22 Mar 202625/262.55/3.70/2.55
10 Aug 202525/261.52/4.35/6.00
11 May 202524/251.62/4.14/5.10
25 Aug 202424/253.69/3.68/1.94
11 Mar 202322/231.33/5.12/9.69
1 Oct 202222/234.98/3.67/1.74
21 Dec 202121/221.34/4.99/9.44
24 Oct 202121/224.51/3.72/1.77
13 May 202120/215.83/4.08/1.58
6 Dec 202020/211.48/4.34/6.84

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: AZ Alkmaar

W 476D 211L 289
Over 2.562
Goals scored1759

Away Record: Groningen

W 336D 255L 420
Over 2.552
Goals scored1329

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026